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Altoona, PA - House Price Index (HPI) - 16 Year Chart
Altoona Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Altoona, PA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Wednesday, January 25, 2012. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Altoona Real Estate Index: 16 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Altoona Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  9305
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Altoona, Pennsylvania


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      79%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Altoona housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Altoona is 79%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 79% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Altoona is 79% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Altoona Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      92%

The forecast for the trend in the Altoona housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Altoona is 92%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 92% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Altoona is 92% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Altoona Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Altoona, Pennsylvania


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -5.28%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.0%
Last 5 Years                                     8%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Last 20 Years                                   
Decline From All Time High               5.28%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981        n/a
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990        n/a
1991        n/a
1992        n/a
1993        n/a
1994      10.95%
1995      2.27%
1996      -0.29%
1997      5.37%
1998      6.12%
1999      -3.21%
2000      7.17%
2001      7.29%
2002      4.14%
2003      2.07%
2004      8.45%
2005      4.10%
2006      3.60%
2007      5.30%
2008      1.36%
2009      2.03%
2010      2.50%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -5.28%        Rank: 380 of 381 (Bottom .20%)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.0%          Rank: 121 of 381 (68th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              8%              Rank: 27 of 381 (93rd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   35%            Rank: 116 of 381 (69th Percentile)

Decline From All Time High        5.28%

Home Price appreciation rates for Altoona, PA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Altoona appreciated -5.28% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Altoona Real Estate Market was ranked 380th out of 381 metropolitan
areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Altoona was in the bottom .20%. So
Altoona, PA performed better in the Last Quarter than 0% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Altoona, Pennsylvania

The all time high in the Altoona Home Price Index was 182.9 in the 2nd Quarter,
of 2011. The 3rd Quarter, 2011 index value was 173.2. That's a decline of 9.66
points or 5.28% below the Altoona Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Altoona Market is up 35% over the last 10 years.
Home Prices in the Altoona Real Estate Market have lost 1.97% over the last 12
months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 9.66 points lower than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 182.89, resulting in a 5.28% decline for the 3rd Quarter in the
Altoona Market.

The Altoona Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Altoona Real Estate Market
was 12% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1994. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Altoona Market was -3% in the twelve
months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1999.

The highest home appreciation in the Altoona Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 25% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1996.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Altoona Market
was -1% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Altoona Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Altoona Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Altoona
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Pennsylvania. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Altoona Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Altoona Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Altoona Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Altoona Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Altoona, Pennsylvania

The appreciation of Altoona Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Altoona Home Prices had a rank of 380, with
appreciation of -5.28%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market during
that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Altoona Home Prices had a rank of 121, with
appreciation during the year of -1.97%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Altoona Home Prices
ranked 27, with a total appreciation of 7.8%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 27%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Altoona Home Prices
had a rank of 116, with appreciation during the decade of 35%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.

Last 20 Years:
Twenty year data is not available
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Altoona Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Altoona. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)



PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast.   Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate),  Q1 (First Quarter),  Q2 (Second Quarter),  etc.

U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation)  -1.9%  (2012-Q4)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate:  3.25%  (December, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate:  2.93%  (December, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate:  0.00%  (December, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's):  732  (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate:  0.11%  (December, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall):  8.63%  (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-):  3.04%  (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel):  $92.4  (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU):  $3.37  (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index:   105  (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $15.6  (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $16.0  (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions:  $-1704  (2011)
National Debt (Trillions):  $14.6  (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate:  4.03%  (December, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index):  1245  (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average):  12030  (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions):  $2338  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions):  $3042  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate:  4.61%  (November, 2012)

































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