Ames, IA - House Price Index (HPI) - 20 Year Chart
Ames Real Estate Market & Home Price Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Ames, IA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday, December 21, 2012. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Ames Real Estate Index: 20 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
10
Ames Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/1980         1/1985        1/1990        1/1995        1/2000         1/2005        1/2010
Commentary  13117
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Ames, Iowa


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Ames housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Ames is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Ames is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ames Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      89%

The forecast for the trend in the Ames housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Ames is 89%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 89% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Ames is 89% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ames Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Ames, Iowa


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -0.23%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.5%
Last 5 Years                                     0%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Last 20 Years                                   86%
Decline From All Time High               0.97%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988        n/a
1989      3.81%
1990      5.56%
1991      7.51%
1992      3.53%
1993      7.68%
1994      7.14%
1995      5.13%
1996      2.23%
1997      6.94%
1998      4.02%
1999      2.77%
2000      5.11%
2001      4.49%
2002      2.82%
2003      4.77%
2004      2.93%
2005      4.54%
2006      0.06%
2007      2.36%
2008      -0.52%
2009      0.47%
2010      0.65%
2011      -0.74%
2012      0.53%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.23%        Rank: 296 of 381 (22nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.5%           Rank: 173 of 381 (54th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              0%              Rank: 81 of 381 (78th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   16%            Rank: 211 of 381 (44th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            86%            Rank: 143 of 368 (61st Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        0.97%

Home Price appreciation rates for Ames, IA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Ames appreciated -0.23% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Ames Real Estate Market was ranked 296th out of 381 metropolitan
areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Ames was in the 22nd percentile. So Ames,
IA performed better in the Last Quarter than 22% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Ames, Iowa

The all time high in the Ames Home Price Index was 160.3 in the 1st Quarter, of
2008. The 4th Quarter, 2012 index value was 158.7. That's a decline of 1.55
points or 0.97% below the Ames Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Ames Market is up 16% over the last 10 years.
Home prices in the Ames Real Estate Market have gained 0.53% over the last
12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.37 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2012
index value of 159.11, resulting in a 0.23% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Ames Market.

The Ames Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in the
previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Tallahassee, FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Ames Real Estate Market was
9% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1994. The worst annual
home appreciation rate in the Ames Market was -4% in the twelve months
ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest home appreciation in the Ames Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 24% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1994.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Ames Market was
-3% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Ames Home Price Index (above).
For information about Iowa home values, look at the links under that chart. One
link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of Iowa. Another
link opens the home price index chart for Iowa. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Ames Home Prices
will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Ames Home Price Index is available back to the 1st
Quarter, of 1988. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Ames Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Ames Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Ames, Iowa

The appreciation of Ames Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2012, Ames Home Prices had a rank of 296, with
appreciation of -0.23%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 4.55%. The worst market during
that period was Hattiesburg, MS, with appreciation of -4.02%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.47%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.54%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Ames Home Prices had a rank of 173, with
appreciation during the year of 0.53%. The top performing market during the
last year was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 13.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Gainesville, FL, with appreciation of -6.8%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was 0.27%. The
average appreciation was 0.31%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2012, Ames Home Prices
ranked 81, with a total appreciation of 0.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 24%.
The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation of
-54%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -9%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -12%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Ames Home Prices had
a rank of 211, with appreciation during the decade of 16%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 104%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -31%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 18%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Ames Home Prices had
a rank of 143, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 86%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 210%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 7%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 78%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 80%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Ames Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1988. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Ames. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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