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Austin, TX - House Price Index (HPI) - 31 Year Chart
Austin Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX single family
home prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated January 25,
2012. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Austin Real Estate Index: 31 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Austin Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  9320
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Austin, Texas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Austin housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Austin is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Austin is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Austin Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the Austin housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Austin is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Austin is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Austin Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Austin, Texas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.89%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -1.6%
Last 5 Years                                     10%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Last 20 Years                                   152%
Decline From All Time High               2.74%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981      10.58%
1982      10.24%
1983      9.09%
1984      12.48%
1985      5.77%
1986      -1.42%
1987      -14.89%
1988      -9.62%
1989      -1.34%
1990      0.00%
1991      7.19%
1992      9.37%
1993      10.75%
1994      5.51%
1995      4.67%
1996      2.39%
1997      2.02%
1998      5.17%
1999      10.11%
2000      12.36%
2001      6.00%
2002      2.06%
2003      -0.25%
2004      2.28%
2005      6.03%
2006      9.08%
2007      7.59%
2008      2.79%
2009      -1.10%
2010      -0.57%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.89%         Rank: 176 of 381 (53rd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -1.6%          Rank: 100 of 381 (73rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              10%            Rank: 13 of 381 (96th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   31%            Rank: 155 of 381 (59th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            152%          Rank: 11 of 351 (97th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        2.74%

Home Price appreciation rates for Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Austin appreciated 0.89% in
the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Austin Real Estate Market was ranked 176th
out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Austin was in the
53rd percentile. So Austin, TX performed better in the Last Quarter than 53% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Austin, Texas

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Austin-Round Rock-San
Marcos, TX, hereinafter referred to as "Austin". The all time high in the Austin
Home Price Index was 202.8 in the 1st Quarter, of 2009. The 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value was 197.3. That's a decline of 5.55 points or 2.74% below the
Austin Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
Austin Market is up 31% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Austin Real
Estate Market have lost 1.60% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty
years, it is up 184%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 1.74 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 195.52, resulting in a 0.89% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Austin
Market.

The Austin Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index is
Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas,
NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Austin Real Estate Market
was 21% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1980. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Austin Market was -20% in the twelve
months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1989.

The highest home appreciation in the Austin Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 49% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1980.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Austin Market was
-27% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1989.

This page provides a long term graph of the Austin Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Austin Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Austin
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Texas. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide
tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property values.
Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Austin Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Austin Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Austin Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Austin Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Austin, Texas

The appreciation of Austin Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX, hereinafter referred to as "Austin".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Austin Home Prices had a rank of 176, with
appreciation of 0.89%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market during
that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Austin Home Prices had a rank of 100, with
appreciation during the year of -1.60%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Austin Home Prices
ranked 13, with a total appreciation of 9.9%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 27%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Austin Home Prices had
a rank of 155, with appreciation during the decade of 31%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Austin Home Prices had
a rank of 11, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 152%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 214%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Merced,
CA, with appreciation of 6%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Austin Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1977. The chart has been
updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Austin. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)



PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast.   Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate),  Q1 (First Quarter),  Q2 (Second Quarter),  etc.

U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation)  -1.9%  (2012-Q4)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate:  3.25%  (December, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate:  2.93%  (December, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate:  0.00%  (December, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's):  732  (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate:  0.11%  (December, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall):  8.63%  (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-):  3.04%  (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel):  $92.4  (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU):  $3.37  (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index:   105  (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $15.6  (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $16.0  (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions:  $-1704  (2011)
National Debt (Trillions):  $14.6  (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate:  4.03%  (December, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index):  1245  (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average):  12030  (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions):  $2338  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions):  $3042  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate:  4.61%  (November, 2012)

































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