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Bend, OR - House Price Index (HPI) - 23 Year Chart
Bend Real Estate Market Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Bend, OR single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Thursday, January 26, 2012. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Bend Real Estate Index: 23 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Bend Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  9330
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Bend, Oregon


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      94%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Bend housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Bend is 94%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 94% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Bend is 94% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, home
prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were in the 3rd Quarter
of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Bend Real Estate
Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      91%

The forecast for the trend in the Bend housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Bend is 91%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 91% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Bend is 91% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, home
prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 3rd Quarter
of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Bend Real Estate
Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Bend, Oregon


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     2.64%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.1%
Last 5 Years                                     -43%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Last 20 Years                                   104%
Decline From All Time High               43.99%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981        n/a
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986      0.89%
1987      2.97%
1988      11.81%
1989      17.96%
1990      17.80%
1991      9.34%
1992      7.63%
1993      4.49%
1994      4.79%
1995      6.35%
1996      2.41%
1997      5.28%
1998      4.59%
1999      7.48%
2000      6.74%
2001      8.24%
2002      7.79%
2003      7.66%
2004      11.55%
2005      29.90%
2006      20.45%
2007      -4.36%
2008      -18.97%
2009      -19.41%
2010      -8.28%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.64%         Rank: 40 of 381 (89th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.1%          Rank: 127 of 381 (66th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -43%           Rank: 352 of 381 (7th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   15%            Rank: 290 of 381 (23rd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            104%          Rank: 93 of 351 (73rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        43.99%

Home Price appreciation rates for Bend, OR are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Bend appreciated 2.64% in the Last Quarter. At that rate,
the Bend Real Estate Market was ranked 40th out of 381 metropolitan areas for
Real Estate Appreciation. Bend was in the 89th percentile. So Bend, OR
performed better in the Last Quarter than 89% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Bend, Oregon

The all time high in the Bend Home Price Index was 297.6 in the 4th Quarter, of
2006. The 3rd Quarter, 2011 index value was 166.7. That's a decline of 130.93
points or 43.99% below the Bend Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Bend Market is up 15% over the last 10 years.
Home Prices in the Bend Real Estate Market have lost 2.13% over the last 12
months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 4.29 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 162.42, resulting in a 2.64% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Bend
Market.

The Bend Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous 2 quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the
Home Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price
Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Bend Real Estate Market was
36% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2006. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Bend Market was -23% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest home appreciation in the Bend Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 78% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2006.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Bend Market was
-41% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Bend Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Bend Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Bend
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Oregon. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Bend Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Bend Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1985. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Bend Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Bend Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Bend, Oregon

The appreciation of Bend Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Bend Home Prices had a rank of 40, with
appreciation of 2.64%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market during
that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Bend Home Prices had a rank of 127, with
appreciation during the year of -2.13%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Bend Home Prices
ranked 352, with a total appreciation of -43.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 27%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Bend Home Prices had a
rank of 290, with appreciation during the decade of 15%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Bend Home Prices had a
rank of 93, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 104%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 214%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Merced,
CA, with appreciation of 6%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Bend Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1985. The chart has been
updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Bend. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)



PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast.   Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate),  Q1 (First Quarter),  Q2 (Second Quarter),  etc.

U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation)  -1.9%  (2012-Q4)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate:  3.25%  (December, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate:  2.93%  (December, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate:  0.00%  (December, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's):  732  (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate:  0.11%  (December, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall):  8.63%  (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-):  3.04%  (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel):  $92.4  (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU):  $3.37  (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index:   105  (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $15.6  (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $16.0  (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions:  $-1704  (2011)
National Debt (Trillions):  $14.6  (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate:  4.03%  (December, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index):  1245  (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average):  12030  (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions):  $2338  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions):  $3042  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate:  4.61%  (November, 2012)

































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