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Carson City, NV - House Price Index (HPI) - 21 Year Chart
Carson City Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Carson City, NV single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Updated Wednesday, April 18, 2012.
Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Carson City Real Estate Index: 21 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Carson City Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10117
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Carson City, Nevada


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Carson City housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Carson City is 83%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Carson City is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Carson City Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      85%

The forecast for the trend in the Carson City housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Carson City is 85%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Carson City is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Carson City Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Carson City, Nevada


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -4.26%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -18.1%
Last 5 Years                                     -49%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -1%
Last 20 Years                                   38%
Decline From All Time High               50.40%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988      3.18%
1989      9.82%
1990      4.79%
1991      7.26%
1992      5.68%
1993      4.01%
1994      2.27%
1995      5.35%
1996      1.78%
1997      2.09%
1998      2.41%
1999      -0.94%
2000      4.71%
2001      7.19%
2002      9.87%
2003      14.51%
2004      30.69%
2005      17.58%
2006      -0.59%
2007      -7.69%
2008      -11.61%
2009      -14.68%
2010      -9.93%
2011      -18.06%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -4.26%        Rank: 377 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -18.1%        Rank: 381 of 381 (Bottom .00%)
Last 5 Years                              -49%           Rank: 368 of 381 (3rd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -1%            Rank: 354 of 381 (7th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            38%            Rank: 339 of 355 (4th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        50.40%

Home Price appreciation rates for Carson City, NV are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Carson City appreciated -4.26% in the Last Quarter.
At that rate, the Carson City Real Estate Market was ranked 377th out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Carson City was in the 1st
percentile. So Carson City, NV performed better in the Last Quarter than 1% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Carson City, Nevada

The all time high in the Carson City Home Price Index was 246.8 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 122.4. That's a
decline of 124.41 points or 50.40% below the Carson City Home Price Index all
time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Carson City Market is down
1% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Carson City Real Estate Market
have lost 18.06% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 5.45 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 127.88, resulting in a 4.26% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Carson City Market.

The Carson City Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing
in the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 4 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Carson City Real Estate
Market was 32% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Carson City Market was -21% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

The highest home appreciation in the Carson City Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 79% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
2005. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Carson City
Market was -43% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Carson City Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Carson City Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Carson City Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Nevada. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Carson City Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Carson City Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1987. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Carson City Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Carson City Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Carson City, Nevada

The appreciation of Carson City Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Carson City Home Prices had a rank of 377,
with appreciation of -4.26%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Carson City Home Prices had the worst performance
in the country, with appreciation during the year of -18.06%. The top performer
during the last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Carson City Home Prices
ranked 368, with a total appreciation of -48.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Carson City Home Prices
had a rank of 354, with appreciation during the decade of -1%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Carson City Home Prices
had a rank of 339, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 38%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Carson City Real
Estate Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1987. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Carson City. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period.
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of appreciation.)




























































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