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Chattanooga, TN - House Price Index (HPI) - 26 Year Chart
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Chattanooga Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Chattanooga, TN-GA single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Updated Wednesday, April 18, 2012.
Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Chattanooga Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/1980 1/1985 1/1990 1/1995 1/2000 1/2005 1/2010
Commentary 10125
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Chattanooga, Tennessee
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 89%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Chattanooga housing market for the
12 months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Chattanooga is 89%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 89% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Chattanooga is 89% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Chattanooga Real Estate Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 92%
The forecast for the trend in the Chattanooga housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Chattanooga is 92%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 92% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Chattanooga is 92% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Chattanooga Real Estate Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Chattanooga, Tennessee
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter -0.10%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -2.8%
Last 5 Years -2%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Last 20 Years 95%
Decline From All Time High 5.15%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982 n/a
1983 14.19%
1984 3.60%
1985 0.95%
1986 3.69%
1987 8.90%
1988 4.04%
1989 1.23%
1990 0.99%
1991 2.78%
1992 4.05%
1993 4.32%
1994 2.71%
1995 6.17%
1996 5.23%
1997 3.35%
1998 5.24%
1999 3.16%
2000 4.15%
2001 5.93%
2002 3.93%
2003 4.51%
2004 5.77%
2005 7.66%
2006 4.16%
2007 1.91%
2008 -1.05%
2009 -0.44%
2010 0.55%
2011 -2.76%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter -0.10% Rank: 243 of 381 (36th Percentile)
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -2.8% Rank: 207 of 381 (45th Percentile)
Last 5 Years -2% Rank: 136 of 381 (64th Percentile)
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . 26% Rank: 176 of 381 (53rd Percentile)
Last 20 Years 95% Rank: 126 of 355 (64th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High 5.15%
Home Price appreciation rates for Chattanooga, TN-GA are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Chattanooga appreciated -0.10% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Chattanooga Real Estate Market was ranked 243rd
out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Chattanooga was in
the 36th percentile. So Chattanooga, TN performed better in the Last Quarter
than 36% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Chattanooga, Tennessee
The all time high in the Chattanooga Home Price Index was 183.0 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2009. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 173.6. That's a
decline of 9.43 points or 5.15% below the Chattanooga Home Price Index all
time high. The Home Price Index indicates that the Chattanooga Market is up
26% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Chattanooga Real Estate
Market have lost 2.76% over the last 12 months.
The 4th Quarter index value was 0.18 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 173.78, resulting in a 0.10% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Chattanooga Market.
The Chattanooga Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing
in the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 4 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Chattanooga Real Estate
Market was 21% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1985. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Chattanooga Market was -8% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1984.
The highest home appreciation in the Chattanooga Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 37% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1987. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the
Chattanooga Market was -6% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
2011.
This page provides a long term graph of the Chattanooga Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Chattanooga Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Chattanooga Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Tennessee. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Chattanooga Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Chattanooga Home Price Index is available back to the
2nd Quarter, of 1982. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the
House Price Index for the Chattanooga Market. The terms House Price Index
and Home Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing
Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Chattanooga Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.
Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Chattanooga, Tennessee
The appreciation of Chattanooga Home Prices relative to 380 other
metropolitan areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or
more cities. Five different time periods are reviewed. Each paragraph identifies
the top and bottom performing markets as well as the average and median
performance for all cities during each time period.
Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Chattanooga Home Prices had a rank of 243,
with appreciation of -0.10%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.
Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Chattanooga Home Prices had a rank of 207, with
appreciation during the year of -2.76%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.
Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Chattanooga Home
Prices ranked 136, with a total appreciation of -1.8%. The top performing real
estate market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of
23%. The worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of
-62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.
Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Chattanooga Home
Prices had a rank of 176, with appreciation during the decade of 26%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.
Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Chattanooga Home
Prices had a rank of 126, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of
95%. The top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY,
with appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.
Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Chattanooga Real
Estate Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1982. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Chattanooga. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period.
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of appreciation.)
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