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Des Moines, IA - House Price Index (HPI) - 31 Year Chart
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Des Moines Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA single family home
prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Updated Wednesday, April 18,
2012. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Des Moines Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/1980 1/1985 1/1990 1/1995 1/2000 1/2005 1/2010
Commentary 10154
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Des Moines, Iowa
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 86%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Des Moines housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Des Moines is 86%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Des Moines is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Des
Moines Real Estate Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 83%
The forecast for the trend in the Des Moines housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Des Moines is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in Des
Moines is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Des Moines
Real Estate Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Des Moines, Iowa
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter 0.25%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -0.7%
Last 5 Years -2%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Last 20 Years 88%
Decline From All Time High 4.45%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982 -9.07%
1983 4.33%
1984 2.35%
1985 4.92%
1986 2.07%
1987 0.29%
1988 4.25%
1989 3.91%
1990 4.49%
1991 4.20%
1992 3.16%
1993 5.04%
1994 6.43%
1995 6.22%
1996 3.28%
1997 3.92%
1998 5.20%
1999 3.38%
2000 4.73%
2001 5.76%
2002 3.85%
2003 4.87%
2004 4.41%
2005 5.31%
2006 1.32%
2007 1.71%
2008 -1.59%
2009 -1.71%
2010 -0.03%
2011 -0.69%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter 0.25% Rank: 187 of 381 (51st Percentile)
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -0.7% Rank: 84 of 381 (78th Percentile)
Last 5 Years -2% Rank: 143 of 381 (62nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . 18% Rank: 254 of 381 (33rd Percentile)
Last 20 Years 88% Rank: 158 of 355 (55th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High 4.45%
Home Price appreciation rates for Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA are shown
above for five time periods. For example: Des Moines appreciated 0.25% in the
Last Quarter. At that rate, the Des Moines Real Estate Market was ranked
187th out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Des Moines
was in the 51st percentile. So Des Moines, IA performed better in the Last
Quarter than 51% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Des Moines, Iowa
The data and analysis on this page pertains to Des Moines-West Des Moines,
IA, hereinafter referred to as "Des Moines". The all time high in the Des Moines
Home Price Index was 168.3 in the 1st Quarter, of 2008. The 4th Quarter, 2011
index value was 160.8. That's a decline of 7.48 points or 4.45% below the Des
Moines Home Price Index all time high. The Home Price Index indicates that the
Des Moines Market is up 18% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Des
Moines Real Estate Market have lost 0.69% over the last 12 months. Over the
last thirty years, it is up 131%.
The 4th Quarter index value was 0.40 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 160.38, resulting in a 0.25% rise in the 4th Quarter for the Des
Moines Market.
The Des Moines Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 4 consecutive quarters. The current record
holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with
declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Des Moines Real Estate
Market was 14% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1979. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Des Moines Market was -12% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1981.
The highest home appreciation in the Des Moines Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 23% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1985. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Des Moines
Market was -10% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1982.
This page provides a long term graph of the Des Moines Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Des Moines Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Des Moines Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Iowa. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's
long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's
detailed research and statistics about Des Moines Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Des Moines Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Des Moines Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Des Moines Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.
Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Des Moines, Iowa
The appreciation of Des Moines Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed. Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA, hereinafter referred to as "Des Moines".
Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Des Moines Home Prices had a rank of 187,
with appreciation of 0.25%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.
Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Des Moines Home Prices had a rank of 84, with
appreciation during the year of -0.69%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.
Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Des Moines Home Prices
ranked 143, with a total appreciation of -2.3%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.
Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Des Moines Home Prices
had a rank of 254, with appreciation during the decade of 18%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.
Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Des Moines Home Prices
had a rank of 158, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 88%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.
Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Des Moines Real
Estate Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Des Moines. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period.
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of appreciation.)
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