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Fayetteville, NC - House Price Index (HPI) - 20 Year Chart
Fayetteville Real Estate Market (NC)
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Fayetteville, NC single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Thursday, April 19, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Fayetteville Real Estate Index: 20 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Fayetteville Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10174
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Fayetteville, North Carolina


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Fayetteville housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Fayetteville is 86%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Fayetteville is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fayetteville
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

The forecast for the trend in the Fayetteville housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Fayetteville is 86%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Fayetteville is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fayetteville
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Fayetteville, North Carolina


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.33%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.2%
Last 5 Years                                     6%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Last 20 Years                                   74%
Decline From All Time High               0.68%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988      4.38%
1989      3.50%
1990      3.15%
1991      2.44%
1992      3.22%
1993      3.06%
1994      2.00%
1995      5.57%
1996      1.60%
1997      5.11%
1998      1.36%
1999      -1.83%
2000      3.98%
2001      4.04%
2002      1.77%
2003      1.20%
2004      5.65%
2005      6.50%
2006      7.55%
2007      1.77%
2008      3.26%
2009      0.00%
2010      0.87%
2011      0.17%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.33%         Rank: 174 of 381 (54th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.2%           Rank: 45 of 381 (88th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              6%              Rank: 34 of 381 (91st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   32%            Rank: 131 of 381 (65th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            74%            Rank: 236 of 355 (33rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        0.68%

Home Price appreciation rates for Fayetteville, NC are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Fayetteville appreciated 0.33% in the Last Quarter.
At that rate, the Fayetteville Real Estate Market was ranked 174th out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Fayetteville was in the 54th
percentile. So Fayetteville, NC performed better in the Last Quarter than 54%
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Fayetteville, North Carolina

The all time high in the Fayetteville Home Price Index was 155.5 in the 2nd
Quarter, of 2011. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 154.5. That's a
decline of 1.06 points or 0.68% below the Fayetteville Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Fayetteville Market is up 32%
over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market have
gained 0.17% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.51 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 153.94, resulting in a 0.33% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Fayetteville Market.

The Fayetteville Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in
the previous quarter. The current record holders for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and
Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the last 4 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas,
NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Fayetteville Real Estate
Market was 9% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2006. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Fayetteville Market was -2% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1999.

The highest home appreciation in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 21% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
2006. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Fayetteville
Market was 0% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Fayetteville Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Fayetteville Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Fayetteville Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of North Carolina. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Fayetteville Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Fayetteville Home Price Index is available back to the 1st
Quarter, of 1988. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Fayetteville Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Fayetteville, North Carolina

The appreciation of Fayetteville Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Fayetteville Home Prices had a rank of 174,
with appreciation of 0.33%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Fayetteville Home Prices had a rank of 45, with
appreciation during the year of 0.17%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Fayetteville Home Prices
ranked 34, with a total appreciation of 6.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Fayetteville Home Prices
had a rank of 131, with appreciation during the decade of 32%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Fayetteville Home Prices
had a rank of 236, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 74%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Fayetteville Real
Estate Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1988. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Fayetteville. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period.
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of appreciation.)




























































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