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Fort Worth, TX - House Price Index (HPI) - 31 Year Chart
Fort Worth Real Estate Market
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Fort Worth-Arlington, TX single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Thursday, April 19, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Fort Worth Real Estate Index: 31 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Fort Worth Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10186
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Fort Worth, Texas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      88%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Fort Worth housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Fort Worth is 88%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 88% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Fort Worth is 88% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fort
Worth Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      82%

The forecast for the trend in the Fort Worth housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Fort Worth is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Fort Worth is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fort Worth
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Fort Worth, Texas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.23%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -1.0%
Last 5 Years                                     1%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Last 20 Years                                   64%
Decline From All Time High               4.28%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982      2.89%
1983      5.13%
1984      6.11%
1985      1.67%
1986      1.92%
1987      -5.79%
1988      -4.54%
1989      0.71%
1990      0.05%
1991      2.01%
1992      2.14%
1993      2.11%
1994      0.02%
1995      3.19%
1996      1.97%
1997      4.02%
1998      4.27%
1999      4.70%
2000      5.60%
2001      5.90%
2002      3.48%
2003      2.42%
2004      2.74%
2005      2.79%
2006      4.20%
2007      2.43%
2008      0.54%
2009      -0.06%
2010      -1.20%
2011      -1.01%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.23%         Rank: 194 of 381 (49th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -1.0%          Rank: 102 of 381 (73rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              1%              Rank: 105 of 381 (72nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   17%            Rank: 264 of 381 (30th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            64%            Rank: 277 of 355 (22nd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        4.28%

Home Price appreciation rates for Fort Worth-Arlington, TX are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Fort Worth appreciated 0.23% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Fort Worth Real Estate Market was ranked 194th out
of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Fort Worth was in the
49th percentile. So Fort Worth, TX performed better in the Last Quarter than
49% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Fort Worth, Texas

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Fort Worth-Arlington, TX,
hereinafter referred to as "Fort Worth". The all time high in the Fort Worth
Home Price Index was 163.3 in the 1st Quarter, of 2009. The 4th Quarter, 2011
index value was 156.3. That's a decline of 6.99 points or 4.28% below the Fort
Worth Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
Fort Worth Market is up 17% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Fort
Worth Real Estate Market have lost 1.01% over the last 12 months. Over the
last thirty years, it is up 80%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.36 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 155.96, resulting in a 0.23% rise in the 4th Quarter for the Fort
Worth Market.

The Fort Worth Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 4 consecutive quarters. The current record
holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with
declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Fort Worth Real Estate
Market was 21% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1978. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Fort Worth Market was -7% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1988.

The highest home appreciation in the Fort Worth Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 64% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1980. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Fort Worth
Market was -11% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1989.

This page provides a long term graph of the Fort Worth Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Fort Worth Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Fort Worth Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Texas. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Fort Worth Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Fort Worth Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Fort Worth Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Fort Worth Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Fort Worth, Texas

The appreciation of Fort Worth Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Fort Worth-Arlington, TX, hereinafter referred to as "Fort Worth".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Fort Worth Home Prices had a rank of 194, with
appreciation of 0.23%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Fort Worth Home Prices had a rank of 102, with
appreciation during the year of -1.01%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Fort Worth Home Prices
ranked 105, with a total appreciation of 0.7%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Fort Worth Home Prices
had a rank of 264, with appreciation during the decade of 17%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Fort Worth Home Prices
had a rank of 277, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 64%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Fort Worth Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1977. The chart has been
updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Fort Worth. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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