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Hickory, NC - House Price Index (HPI) - 22 Year Chart
Hickory Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC single family home
prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Thursday, March 29,
2012. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Hickory Real Estate Index: 22 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Hickory Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10210
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Hickory, North Carolina


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      96%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Hickory housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Hickory is 96%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 96% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Hickory is 96% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Hickory Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      93%

The forecast for the trend in the Hickory housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Hickory is 93%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 93% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Hickory is 93% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Hickory Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Hickory, North Carolina


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -0.56%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -4.1%
Last 5 Years                                     -2%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Last 20 Years                                   78%
Decline From All Time High               7.84%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987      3.85%
1988      7.31%
1989      1.88%
1990      7.23%
1991      4.27%
1992      2.84%
1993      3.35%
1994      2.05%
1995      6.20%
1996      4.86%
1997      5.86%
1998      5.50%
1999      3.34%
2000      4.93%
2001      6.71%
2002      3.11%
2003      1.03%
2004      2.65%
2005      4.34%
2006      4.19%
2007      3.64%
2008      -0.06%
2009      -0.46%
2010      -0.92%
2011      -4.13%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.56%        Rank: 316 of 381 (17th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -4.1%          Rank: 267 of 381 (30th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -2%             Rank: 139 of 381 (63rd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   14%            Rank: 290 of 381 (23rd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            78%            Rank: 214 of 355 (39th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        7.84%

Home Price appreciation rates for Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC are shown
above for five time periods. For example: Hickory appreciated -0.56% in the
Last Quarter. At that rate, the Hickory Real Estate Market was ranked 316th out
of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Hickory was in the 17th
percentile. So Hickory, NC performed better in the Last Quarter than 17% of the
381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Hickory, North Carolina

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC,
hereinafter referred to as "Hickory". The all time high in the Hickory Home Price
Index was 174.3 in the 1st Quarter, of 2009. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value
was 160.6. That's a decline of 13.67 points or 7.84% below the Hickory Home
Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Hickory
Market is up 14% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Hickory Real
Estate Market have lost 4.13% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.91 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 161.51, resulting in a 0.56% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Hickory Market.

The Hickory Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in the
previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Hickory Real Estate Market
was 9% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1989. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Hickory Market was -4% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

The highest home appreciation in the Hickory Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 18% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1999.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Hickory Market
was -7% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Hickory Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Hickory Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Hickory
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of North Carolina. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts
can provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Hickory Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Hickory Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Hickory Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Hickory Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Hickory, North Carolina

The appreciation of Hickory Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, hereinafter referred to as "Hickory".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Hickory Home Prices had a rank of 316, with
appreciation of -0.56%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Hickory Home Prices had a rank of 267, with
appreciation during the year of -4.13%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Hickory Home Prices
ranked 139, with a total appreciation of -2.1%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Hickory Home Prices had
a rank of 290, with appreciation during the decade of 14%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Hickory Home Prices had
a rank of 214, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 78%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Hickory Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Hickory. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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