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Lawrence, KS - House Price Index (HPI) - 22 Year Chart
Lawrence Real Estate Market
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Lawrence, KS single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, April 24, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Lawrence Real Estate Index: 22 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
10
Lawrence Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10255
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Lawrence, Kansas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      94%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Lawrence housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Lawrence is 94%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 94% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Lawrence is 94% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Lawrence Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      90%

The forecast for the trend in the Lawrence housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Lawrence is 90%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 90% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Lawrence is 90% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Lawrence
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Lawrence, Kansas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.25%
Last Year                              -0.8%
Last 5 Years                         -3%
Last 10 Years                       24%
Last 20 Years                       116%
Decline From All Time High   4.49%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987      5.05%
1988      9.13%
1989      0.57%
1990      1.98%
1991      1.01%
1992      3.87%
1993      5.04%
1994      9.68%
1995      5.87%
1996      4.47%
1997      5.35%
1998      6.21%
1999      5.68%
2000      5.76%
2001      5.49%
2002      5.13%
2003      5.79%
2004      6.49%
2005      4.55%
2006      3.36%
2007      0.22%
2008      -0.43%
2009      -1.93%
2010      -0.36%
2011      -0.76%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.25%         Rank: 71 of 381 (81st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -0.8%          Rank: 88 of 381 (77th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -3%             Rank: 151 of 381 (60th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   24%            Rank: 194 of 381 (49th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            116%          Rank: 59 of 355 (83rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        4.49%

Home Price appreciation rates for Lawrence, KS are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Lawrence appreciated 1.25% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Lawrence Real Estate Market was ranked 71st out of 381 metropolitan
areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Lawrence was in the 81st percentile. So
Lawrence, KS performed better in the Last Quarter than 81% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Lawrence, Kansas

The all time high in the Lawrence Home Price Index was 185.9 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2008. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 177.5. That's a
decline of 8.35 points or 4.49% below the Lawrence Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Lawrence Market is up 24% over
the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Lawrence Real Estate Market have lost
0.76% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.20 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 175.33, resulting in a 1.25% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Lawrence Market.

The Lawrence Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous 3 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and
Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas,
NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Lawrence Real Estate Market
was 10% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1995. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Lawrence Market was -3% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest home appreciation in the Lawrence Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 24% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1996. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Lawrence
Market was -5% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Lawrence Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Lawrence Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Lawrence Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Kansas. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Lawrence Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Lawrence Home Price Index is available back to the 1st
Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Lawrence Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Lawrence Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Lawrence, Kansas

The appreciation of Lawrence Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Lawrence Home Prices had a rank of 71, with
appreciation of 1.25%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Lawrence Home Prices had a rank of 88, with
appreciation during the year of -0.76%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Lawrence Home Prices
ranked 151, with a total appreciation of -3.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Lawrence Home Prices
had a rank of 194, with appreciation during the decade of 24%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Lawrence Home Prices
had a rank of 59, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 116%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Lawrence Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Lawrence. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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