__________________________________________
Madera, CA - House Price Index (HPI) - 24 Year Chart
Madera Real Estate Market
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Madera, CA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Wednesday, April 25, 2012. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Madera Real Estate Index: 24 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
10
Madera Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
Home        About Us
1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
Commentary  10272
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Madera, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      75%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Madera housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Madera is 75%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 75% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Madera is 75% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Madera Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      76%

The forecast for the trend in the Madera housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Madera is 76%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 76% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Madera is 76% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Madera Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Madera, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.56%
Last Year                              -10.0%
Last 5 Years                         -53%
Last 10 Years                       10%
Last 20 Years                       36%
Decline From All Time High   52.76%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985      3.49%
1986      1.81%
1987      -0.03%
1988      9.19%
1989      11.58%
1990      11.71%
1991      7.63%
1992      3.42%
1993      0.65%
1994      -3.37%
1995      4.65%
1996      -4.08%
1997      2.92%
1998      2.80%
1999      0.18%
2000      4.38%
2001      10.61%
2002      15.45%
2003      20.45%
2004      26.73%
2005      24.61%
2006      5.92%
2007      -10.21%
2008      -27.02%
2009      -14.40%
2010      -6.15%
2011      -10.02%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.56%        Rank: 314 of 381 (17th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -10.0%        Rank: 375 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -53%           Rank: 376 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   10%            Rank: 311 of 381 (18th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            36%            Rank: 343 of 355 (3rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        52.76%

Home Price appreciation rates for Madera, CA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Madera appreciated -0.56% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Madera Real Estate Market was ranked 314th out of 381 metropolitan
areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Madera was in the 17th percentile. So
Madera, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 17% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Madera, California

The all time high in the Madera Home Price Index was 277.5 in the 3rd Quarter,
of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 131.1. That's a decline of
146.38 points or 52.76% below the Madera Home Price Index all time high.  The
Home Price Index indicates that the Madera Market is up 10% over the last 10
years. Home Prices in the Madera Real Estate Market have lost 10.02% over
the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.74 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 131.81, resulting in a 0.56% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Madera Market.

The Madera Home Price Index has declined for the last 5 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters. The current
record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index are Wheeling,
WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the
last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Madera Real Estate Market
was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2005. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Madera Market was -27% in the twelve
months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Madera Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 93% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2006.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Madera Market
was -48% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Madera Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Madera Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Madera
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of California. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Madera Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Madera Home Price Index is available back to the 1st
Quarter, of 1984. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Madera Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Madera Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Madera, California

The appreciation of Madera Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Madera Home Prices had a rank of 314, with
appreciation of -0.56%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Madera Home Prices had a rank of 375, with
appreciation during the year of -10.02%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Madera Home Prices
ranked 376, with a total appreciation of -52.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Madera Home Prices
had a rank of 311, with appreciation during the decade of 10%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Madera Home Prices
had a rank of 343, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 36%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Madera Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1984. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Madera. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































_____________________________________________________________
Report a Problem with this Page    Contact Us     Privacy Policy    Terms of Use/Disclosure      
                                      SignalTrend Inc.  2008 - 2012, All Rights Reserved