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Minneapolis, MN - House Price Index (HPI) - 32 Year Chart
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Minneapolis Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI single
family home prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Updated Friday,
September 30, 2011. Real estate forecasts, analysis and appreciation rates are provided below.
Minneapolis Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/1980 1/1985 1/1990 1/1995 1/2000 1/2005 1/2010
Commentary 8760
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 94%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Minneapolis housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Minneapolis is 94%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 94% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Minneapolis is 94% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were
in the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Minneapolis Real Estate Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 92%
The forecast for the trend in the Minneapolis housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Minneapolis is 92%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 92% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Minneapolis is 92% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Minneapolis Real Estate Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter 1.61%
Last Year -7.6%
Last 5 Years -22%
Last 10 Years 9%
Last 20 Years 103%
Decline From All Time High 23.04%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981 1.82%
1982 5.97%
1983 -1.02%
1984 4.52%
1985 3.67%
1986 3.83%
1987 4.56%
1988 3.90%
1989 3.64%
1990 0.35%
1991 3.82%
1992 2.61%
1993 3.80%
1994 4.08%
1995 5.49%
1996 4.39%
1997 5.60%
1998 5.96%
1999 10.02%
2000 11.52%
2001 10.77%
2002 9.15%
2003 9.20%
2004 8.69%
2005 6.86%
2006 1.15%
2007 -3.59%
2008 -7.09%
2009 -7.01%
2010 -2.06%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter 1.61% Rank: 104 of 381 (72nd Percentile)
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -7.6% Rank: 322 of 381 (15th Percentile)
Last 5 Years -22% Rank: 308 of 381 (19th Percentile)
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . 9% Rank: 323 of 381 (15th Percentile)
Last 20 Years 103% Rank: 97 of 351 (72nd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High 23.04%
Home Price appreciation rates for Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Minneapolis appreciated
1.61% in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Minneapolis Real Estate Market was
ranked 104th out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation.
Minneapolis was in the 72nd percentile. So Minneapolis, MN performed better in
the Last Quarter than 72% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Minneapolis, Minnesota
The data and analysis on this page pertains to Minneapolis-St.
Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, hereinafter referred to as "Minneapolis". The all time
high in the Minneapolis Home Price Index was 233.2 in the 4th Quarter, of 2006.
The 3rd Quarter, 2011 index value was 179.5. That's a decline of 53.72 points
or 23.04% below the Minneapolis Home Price Index all time high. The Home
Price Index indicates that the Minneapolis Market is up 9% over the last 10
years. Home Prices in the Minneapolis Real Estate Market have lost 7.57% over
the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 178%.
The 3rd Quarter index value was 2.85 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 176.60, resulting in a 1.61% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Minneapolis Market.
The Minneapolis Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in
the previous 3 quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price
Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Minneapolis Real Estate
Market was 22% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1979. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Minneapolis Market was -10% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.
The highest home appreciation in the Minneapolis Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 54% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1979. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Minneapolis
Market was -19% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.
This page provides a long term graph of the Minneapolis Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of
2011. For more information about Minneapolis Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Minneapolis Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Minnesota. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Minneapolis Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Minneapolis Home Price Index is available back to the 2nd
Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Minneapolis Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Minneapolis Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.
Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Minneapolis, Minnesota
The appreciation of Minneapolis Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed. Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, hereinafter referred to as
"Minneapolis".
Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Minneapolis Home Prices had a rank of 104,
with appreciation of 1.61%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market
during that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.
Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Minneapolis Home Prices had a rank of 322, with
appreciation during the year of -7.57%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.
Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Minneapolis Home Prices
ranked 308, with a total appreciation of -22.1%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 27%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.
Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Minneapolis Home
Prices had a rank of 323, with appreciation during the decade of 9%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.
Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Minneapolis Home
Prices had a rank of 97, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of
103%. The top performing real estate market during the period was Casper,
WY, with appreciation of 214%. The worst market during the last 20 years was
Merced, CA, with appreciation of 6%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.
Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Minneapolis Real
Estate Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1976. The chart has
been updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on
the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Minneapolis. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)
PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast. Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate), Q1 (First Quarter), Q2 (Second Quarter), etc.
U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation) -6.9% (2012-Q3)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate: 3.25% (November, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate: 2.95% (November, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate: 0.00% (November, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's): 732 (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate: 0.11% (November, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall): 8.63% (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-): 3.04% (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel): $92.4 (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU): $3.37 (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index: 105 (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions: $15.6 (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions: $16.0 (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions: $-1704 (2011)
National Debt (Trillions): $14.6 (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate: 4.11% (November, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index): 1245 (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average): 12030 (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions): $2338 (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions): $3042 (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate: 4.61% (November, 2012)
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