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New Orleans, LA - House Price Index (HPI) - 31 Year Chart
New Orleans Real Estate Market Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA single family home
prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday, September 30,
2011. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
New Orleans Real Estate Index: 31 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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New Orleans Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  8778
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: New Orleans, Louisiana


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the New Orleans housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for New Orleans is 80%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in New Orleans is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were
in the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
New Orleans Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      79%

The forecast for the trend in the New Orleans housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for New Orleans is 79%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 79% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
New Orleans is 79% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the New
Orleans Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: New Orleans, Louisiana


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.01%
Last Year                              -2.3%
Last 5 Years                         -7%
Last 10 Years                       37%
Last 20 Years                       129%
Decline From All Time High   8.99%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981      10.98%
1982      -0.43%
1983      4.10%
1984      0.20%
1985      -3.06%
1986      1.64%
1987      -4.24%
1988      -4.90%
1989      0.07%
1990      1.61%
1991      4.10%
1992      5.22%
1993      6.43%
1994      3.89%
1995      6.83%
1996      5.69%
1997      4.88%
1998      4.99%
1999      2.75%
2000      4.66%
2001      6.59%
2002      5.22%
2003      6.22%
2004      8.08%
2005      10.26%
2006      10.64%
2007      -0.41%
2008      -2.11%
2009      -3.01%
2010      -1.34%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.01%         Rank: 259 of 381 (32nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.3%          Rank: 139 of 381 (63rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -7%             Rank: 203 of 381 (46th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   37%            Rank: 97 of 381 (74th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            129%          Rank: 39 of 351 (89th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        8.99%

Home Price appreciation rates for New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA are shown
above for five time periods. For example: New Orleans appreciated 0.01% in
the Last Quarter. At that rate, the New Orleans Real Estate Market was ranked
259th out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. New Orleans
was in the 32nd percentile. So New Orleans, LA performed better in the Last
Quarter than 32% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: New Orleans, Louisiana

The data and analysis on this page pertains to New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner,
LA, hereinafter referred to as "New Orleans". The all time high in the New
Orleans Home Price Index was 209.2 in the 1st Quarter, of 2007. The 3rd
Quarter, 2011 index value was 190.4. That's a decline of 18.81 points or 8.99%
below the New Orleans Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index
indicates that the New Orleans Market is up 37% over the last 10 years. Home
Prices in the New Orleans Real Estate Market have lost 2.33% over the last 12
months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 119%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 0.01 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 190.41, resulting in a 0.01% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the New
Orleans Market.

The New Orleans Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in
the previous 3 quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price
Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the New Orleans Real Estate
Market was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1979. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the New Orleans Market was -7% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1988.

The highest home appreciation in the New Orleans Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 61% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1980. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the New
Orleans Market was -11% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
1989.

This page provides a long term graph of the New Orleans Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of
2011. For more information about New Orleans Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the New Orleans Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Louisiana. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about New Orleans Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the New Orleans Home Price Index is available back to the
3rd Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the
House Price Index for the New Orleans Market. The terms House Price Index
and Home Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing
Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the New Orleans Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: New Orleans, Louisiana

The appreciation of New Orleans Home Prices relative to 380 other
metropolitan areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or
more cities. Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies
the top and bottom performing markets as well as the average and median
performance for all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this
page pertains to New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA, hereinafter referred to as
"New Orleans".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, New Orleans Home Prices had a rank of 259,
with appreciation of 0.01%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market
during that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, New Orleans Home Prices had a rank of 139, with
appreciation during the year of -2.33%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, New Orleans Home
Prices ranked 203, with a total appreciation of -6.8%. The top performing real
estate market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of
27%. The worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of
-64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, New Orleans Home
Prices had a rank of 97, with appreciation during the decade of 37%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, New Orleans Home
Prices had a rank of 39, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of
129%. The top performing real estate market during the period was Casper,
WY, with appreciation of 214%. The worst market during the last 20 years was
Merced, CA, with appreciation of 6%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the New Orleans Real
Estate Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1977. The chart has been
updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for New Orleans. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)



PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS  
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast.   Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate),  Q1 (First Quarter),  Q2 (Second Quarter),  etc.  

U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation)  -6.9%  (2012-Q3)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate:  3.25%  (November, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate:  2.95%  (November, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate:  0.00%  (November, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's):  732  (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate:  0.11%  (November, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall):  8.63%  (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-):  3.04%  (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel):  $92.4  (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU):  $3.37  (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index:   105  (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $15.6  (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $16.0  (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions:  $-1704  (2011)
National Debt (Trillions):  $14.6  (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate:  4.11%  (November, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index):  1245  (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average):  12030  (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions):  $2338  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions):  $3042  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate:  4.61%  (November, 2012)

































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