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Ogden, UT - House Price Index (HPI) - 30 Year Chart
Ogden Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Ogden-Clearfield, UT single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, May 1, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Ogden Real Estate Index: 30 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Ogden Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10311
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Ogden, Utah


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      73%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Ogden housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Ogden is 73%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 73% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Ogden is 73% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Ogden Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      67%

The forecast for the trend in the Ogden housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Ogden is 67%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 67% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Ogden is 67% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ogden Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Ogden, Utah


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.13%
Last Year                              -4.4%
Last 5 Years                         -6%
Last 10 Years                       20%
Last 20 Years                       127%
Decline From All Time High   14.41%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982      17.54%
1983      -9.38%
1984      -2.00%
1985      6.76%
1986      1.60%
1987      -0.47%
1988      -0.25%
1989      -0.18%
1990      1.80%
1991      5.80%
1992      4.98%
1993      11.47%
1994      14.86%
1995      11.76%
1996      7.60%
1997      6.89%
1998      4.13%
1999      -1.17%
2000      2.70%
2001      3.42%
2002      1.07%
2003      0.13%
2004      2.77%
2005      7.96%
2006      14.37%
2007      9.25%
2008      -2.65%
2009      -6.43%
2010      -1.73%
2011      -4.38%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.13%        Rank: 251 of 381 (34th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -4.4%          Rank: 278 of 381 (27th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -6%             Rank: 190 of 381 (50th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   20%            Rank: 240 of 381 (37th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            127%          Rank: 38 of 355 (89th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        14.41%

Home Price appreciation rates for Ogden-Clearfield, UT are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Ogden appreciated -0.13% in the Last Quarter.
At that rate, the Ogden Real Estate Market was ranked 251st out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Ogden was in the 34th
percentile. So Ogden, UT performed better in the Last Quarter than 34% of the
381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Ogden, Utah

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Ogden-Clearfield, UT,
hereinafter referred to as "Ogden". The all time high in the Ogden Home Price
Index was 192.0 in the 4th Quarter, of 2007. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value
was 164.3. That's a decline of 27.66 points or 14.41% below the Ogden Home
Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Ogden
Market is up 20% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Ogden Real Estate
Market have lost 4.38% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is
up 174%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.22 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 164.56, resulting in a 0.13% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Ogden Market.

The Ogden Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in the
previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Ogden Real Estate Market
was 18% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1982. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Ogden Market was -9% in the twelve
months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1983.

The highest home appreciation in the Ogden Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 45% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 1996.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Ogden Market was
-16% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Ogden Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Ogden Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Ogden
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Utah. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide
tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property values.
Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Ogden Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Ogden Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Ogden Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Ogden Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Ogden, Utah

The appreciation of Ogden Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Ogden-Clearfield, UT, hereinafter referred to as "Ogden".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Ogden Home Prices had a rank of 251, with
appreciation of -0.13%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Ogden Home Prices had a rank of 278, with
appreciation during the year of -4.38%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Ogden Home Prices
ranked 190, with a total appreciation of -6.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Ogden Home Prices had
a rank of 240, with appreciation during the decade of 20%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Ogden Home Prices had
a rank of 38, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 127%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Ogden Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Ogden. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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