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Oxnard, CA - House Price Index (HPI) - 32 Year Chart
Oxnard Real Estate Market
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA single family
home prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, May 1,
2012. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Oxnard Real Estate Index: 32 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Oxnard Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10318
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Oxnard, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Oxnard housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Oxnard is 84%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Oxnard is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Oxnard Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      82%

The forecast for the trend in the Oxnard housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Oxnard is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Oxnard is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Oxnard Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Oxnard, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.06%
Last Year                              -5.7%
Last 5 Years                         -35%
Last 10 Years                       32%
Last 20 Years                       77%
Decline From All Time High   36.41%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982      -1.23%
1983      4.49%
1984      5.29%
1985      5.99%
1986      9.35%
1987      15.01%
1988      27.55%
1989      14.99%
1990      -4.91%
1991      -2.90%
1992      -3.97%
1993      -5.37%
1994      -4.69%
1995      2.70%
1996      -0.56%
1997      4.30%
1998      8.72%
1999      9.88%
2000      11.32%
2001      9.33%
2002      15.44%
2003      18.46%
2004      26.09%
2005      17.24%
2006      0.47%
2007      -10.01%
2008      -20.49%
2009      -2.62%
2010      -0.92%
2011      -5.65%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.06%        Rank: 239 of 381 (37th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -5.7%          Rank: 319 of 381 (16th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -35%           Rank: 336 of 381 (11th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   32%            Rank: 133 of 381 (65th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            77%            Rank: 218 of 355 (38th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        36.41%

Home Price appreciation rates for Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Oxnard appreciated -0.06% in
the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Oxnard Real Estate Market was ranked 239th
out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Oxnard was in the
37th percentile. So Oxnard, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 37%
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Oxnard, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Oxnard-Thousand
Oaks-Ventura, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Oxnard". The all time high in the
Oxnard Home Price Index was 323.8 in the 2nd Quarter, of 2006. The 4th
Quarter, 2011 index value was 205.9. That's a decline of 117.90 points or
36.41% below the Oxnard Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price
Index indicates that the Oxnard Market is up 32% over the last 10 years. Home
Prices in the Oxnard Real Estate Market have lost 5.65% over the last 12
months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 248%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.13 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 206.00, resulting in a 0.06% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Oxnard Market.

The Oxnard Home Price Index has declined for the last 5 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters. The current
record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index are Wheeling,
WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the
last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Oxnard Real Estate Market
was 33% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Oxnard Market was -21% in the twelve
months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Oxnard Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 79% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1979.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Oxnard Market
was -33% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Oxnard Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Oxnard Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Oxnard
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of California. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Oxnard Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Oxnard Home Price Index is available back to the 2nd
Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Oxnard Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Oxnard Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Oxnard, California

The appreciation of Oxnard Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Oxnard".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Oxnard Home Prices had a rank of 239, with
appreciation of -0.06%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Oxnard Home Prices had a rank of 319, with
appreciation during the year of -5.65%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Oxnard Home Prices
ranked 336, with a total appreciation of -34.9%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Oxnard Home Prices had
a rank of 133, with appreciation during the decade of 32%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Oxnard Home Prices had
a rank of 218, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 77%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Oxnard Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1976. The chart has been
updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Oxnard. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)




























































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