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Reno, NV - House Price Index (HPI) - 30 Year Chart
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Reno-Sparks, NV single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Updated Tuesday, May 1, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Reno Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75 1/1980 1/1985 1/1990 1/1995 1/2000 1/2005 1/2010 1/15
Commentary 10347
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Reno, Nevada
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 84%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Reno housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Reno is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Reno is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, home
prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in the 4th Quarter
of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Reno Real Estate
Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 84%
The forecast for the trend in the Reno housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Reno is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Reno is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, home
prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th Quarter
of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Reno Real Estate
Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Reno, Nevada
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter -0.46%
Last Year -10.8%
Last 5 Years -50%
Last 10 Years -5%
Last 20 Years 35%
Decline From All Time High 52.05%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982 1.16%
1983 9.43%
1984 -4.49%
1985 -0.28%
1986 6.57%
1987 0.08%
1988 3.02%
1989 4.49%
1990 4.65%
1991 5.55%
1992 4.31%
1993 3.07%
1994 3.87%
1995 5.31%
1996 1.74%
1997 2.95%
1998 2.76%
1999 0.45%
2000 4.48%
2001 6.70%
2002 8.34%
2003 14.18%
2004 30.62%
2005 21.61%
2006 -2.32%
2007 -9.86%
2008 -18.60%
2009 -16.13%
2010 -9.62%
2011 -10.83%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter -0.46% Rank: 299 of 381 (21st Percentile)
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -10.8% Rank: 377 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last 5 Years -50% Rank: 371 of 381 (2nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . -5% Rank: 362 of 381 (5th Percentile)
Last 20 Years 35% Rank: 345 of 355 (2nd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High 52.05%
Home Price appreciation rates for Reno-Sparks, NV are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Reno appreciated -0.46% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Reno Real Estate Market was ranked 299th out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Reno was in the 21st
percentile. So Reno, NV performed better in the Last Quarter than 21% of the
381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Reno, Nevada
The data and analysis on this page pertains to Reno-Sparks, NV, hereinafter
referred to as "Reno". The all time high in the Reno Home Price Index was
250.8 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was
120.2. That's a decline of 130.51 points or 52.05% below the Reno Home Price
Index all time high. The Home Price Index indicates that the Reno Market is
down 5% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Reno Real Estate Market
have lost 10.83% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up
80%.
The 4th Quarter index value was 0.55 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 120.79, resulting in a 0.46% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Reno Market.
The Reno Home Price Index has declined for the last 5 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters. The current
record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index are Wheeling,
WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the
last 3 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Reno Real Estate Market was
33% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2005. The worst annual
home appreciation rate in the Reno Market was -19% in the twelve months
ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.
The highest home appreciation in the Reno Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 81% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2005.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Reno Market was
-42% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.
This page provides a long term graph of the Reno Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Reno Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Reno
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Nevada. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Reno Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Reno Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Reno Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Reno Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.
Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Reno, Nevada
The appreciation of Reno Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed. Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Reno-Sparks, NV, hereinafter referred to as "Reno".
Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Reno Home Prices had a rank of 299, with
appreciation of -0.46%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.
Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Reno Home Prices had a rank of 377, with
appreciation during the year of -10.83%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.
Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Reno Home Prices
ranked 371, with a total appreciation of -50.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.
Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Reno Home Prices had a
rank of 362, with appreciation during the decade of -5%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.
Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Reno Home Prices had a
rank of 345, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 35%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.
Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Reno Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Reno. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)
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