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Saginaw, MI - House Price Index (HPI) - 27 Year Chart
Saginaw Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Saginaw-Saginaw Township North, MI single family
home prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, March
27, 2012. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Saginaw Real Estate Index: 27 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Saginaw Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10358
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Saginaw, Michigan


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      91%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Saginaw housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Saginaw is 91%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 91% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Saginaw is 91% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Saginaw Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      88%

The forecast for the trend in the Saginaw housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Saginaw is 88%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 88% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Saginaw is 88% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Saginaw Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Saginaw, Michigan


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.85%
Last Year                              -4.2%
Last 5 Years                         -16%
Last 10 Years                       -10%
Last 20 Years                       49%
Decline From All Time High   20.19%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985      -0.87%
1986      6.17%
1987      5.87%
1988      5.17%
1989      4.59%
1990      4.33%
1991      4.74%
1992      4.68%
1993      4.01%
1994      4.09%
1995      5.78%
1996      7.02%
1997      6.55%
1998      4.71%
1999      5.35%
2000      3.94%
2001      5.66%
2002      2.85%
2003      4.96%
2004      2.13%
2005      1.59%
2006      -4.02%
2007      -1.97%
2008      -7.99%
2009      -5.60%
2010      2.84%
2011      -4.19%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.85%         Rank: 106 of 381 (72nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -4.2%          Rank: 270 of 381 (29th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -16%           Rank: 267 of 381 (30th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -10%           Rank: 371 of 381 (2nd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            49%            Rank: 324 of 355 (8th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        20.19%

Home Price appreciation rates for Saginaw-Saginaw Township North, MI are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Saginaw appreciated 0.85% in
the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Saginaw Real Estate Market was ranked
106th out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Saginaw was
in the 72nd percentile. So Saginaw, MI performed better in the Last Quarter
than 72% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Saginaw, Michigan

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Saginaw-Saginaw Township
North, MI, hereinafter referred to as "Saginaw". The all time high in the Saginaw
Home Price Index was 164.0 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2011
index value was 130.9. That's a decline of 33.12 points or 20.19% below the
Saginaw Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that
the Saginaw Market is down 10% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the
Saginaw Real Estate Market have lost 4.19% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 1.10 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 129.80, resulting in a 0.85% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Saginaw Market.

The Saginaw Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current record
holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with
declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Saginaw Real Estate Market
was 8% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1996. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Saginaw Market was -9% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest home appreciation in the Saginaw Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 21% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 1998.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Saginaw Market
was -18% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Saginaw Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Saginaw Home Prices, look at the links under
that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for
the Saginaw Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation
rates in the state of Michigan. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long
term charts can provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's
detailed research and statistics about Saginaw Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Saginaw Home Price Index is available back to the 1st
Quarter, of 1981. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Saginaw Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Saginaw Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Saginaw, Michigan

The appreciation of Saginaw Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Saginaw-Saginaw Township North, MI, hereinafter referred to as "Saginaw".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Saginaw Home Prices had a rank of 106, with
appreciation of 0.85%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Saginaw Home Prices had a rank of 270, with
appreciation during the year of -4.19%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Saginaw Home Prices
ranked 267, with a total appreciation of -16.1%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Saginaw Home Prices
had a rank of 371, with appreciation during the decade of -10%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Saginaw Home Prices
had a rank of 324, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 49%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Saginaw Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1981. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Saginaw. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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