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Salem, OR - House Price Index (HPI) - 30 Year Chart
Salem Real Estate Market
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Salem, OR single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, March 27, 2012. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Salem Real Estate Index: 30 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
10
Salem Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10359
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Salem, Oregon


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      89%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Salem housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Salem is 89%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 89% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Salem is 89% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Salem Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      87%

The forecast for the trend in the Salem housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Salem is 87%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 87% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Salem is 87% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Salem Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Salem, Oregon


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.25%
Last Year                              -7.0%
Last 5 Years                         -19%
Last 10 Years                       22%
Last 20 Years                       120%
Decline From All Time High   22.31%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983      2.85%
1984      -9.10%
1985      -0.08%
1986      1.18%
1987      0.45%
1988      8.69%
1989      7.51%
1990      11.62%
1991      8.47%
1992      9.31%
1993      7.81%
1994      10.25%
1995      8.84%
1996      6.56%
1997      5.27%
1998      4.84%
1999      0.20%
2000      3.02%
2001      5.01%
2002      2.71%
2003      4.00%
2004      6.88%
2005      14.62%
2006      14.59%
2007      4.73%
2008      -4.20%
2009      -9.25%
2010      -3.96%
2011      -6.96%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.25%         Rank: 31 of 381 (92nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -7.0%          Rank: 341 of 381 (10th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -19%           Rank: 288 of 381 (24th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   22%            Rank: 221 of 381 (42nd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            120%          Rank: 51 of 355 (85th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        22.31%

Home Price appreciation rates for Salem, OR are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Salem appreciated 2.25% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Salem Real Estate Market was ranked 31st out of 381 metropolitan
areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Salem was in the 92nd percentile. So
Salem, OR performed better in the Last Quarter than 92% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Salem, Oregon

The all time high in the Salem Home Price Index was 213.8 in the 4th Quarter,
of 2007. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 166.1. That's a decline of
47.70 points or 22.31% below the Salem Home Price Index all time high.  The
Home Price Index indicates that the Salem Market is up 22% over the last 10
years. Home Prices in the Salem Real Estate Market have lost 6.96% over the
last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 3.65 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 162.47, resulting in a 2.25% rise in the 4th Quarter for the Salem
Market.

The Salem Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous 4 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and
Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas,
NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Salem Real Estate Market
was 17% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2006. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Salem Market was -10% in the twelve
months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011.

The highest home appreciation in the Salem Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 42% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2007.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Salem Market was
-22% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Salem Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Salem Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Salem
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Oregon. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Salem Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Salem Home Price Index is available back to the 2nd
Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Salem Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Salem Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Salem, Oregon

The appreciation of Salem Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Salem Home Prices had a rank of 31, with
appreciation of 2.25%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Salem Home Prices had a rank of 341, with
appreciation during the year of -6.96%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Salem Home Prices
ranked 288, with a total appreciation of -18.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Salem Home Prices had
a rank of 221, with appreciation during the decade of 22%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Salem Home Prices had
a rank of 51, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 120%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Salem Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Salem. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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