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San Diego, CA - House Price Index (HPI) - 32 Year Chart
San Diego Real Estate Market
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA single family
home prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday,
September 30, 2011. Real estate forecasts, analysis and appreciation rates are provided below.
San Diego Real Estate Index: 32 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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San Diego Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  8841
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: San Diego, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the San Diego housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for San Diego is 80%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in San Diego is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the San
Diego Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the San Diego housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for San Diego is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in San
Diego is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the San Diego
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: San Diego, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.54%
Last Year                              -4.7%
Last 5 Years                         -32%
Last 10 Years                       33%
Last 20 Years                       96%
Decline From All Time High   32.82%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981      8.55%
1982      6.17%
1983      2.15%
1984      4.03%
1985      4.44%
1986      7.81%
1987      9.71%
1988      17.52%
1989      19.30%
1990      1.45%
1991      -0.10%
1992      -2.20%
1993      -3.14%
1994      -4.76%
1995      1.35%
1996      -0.68%
1997      4.76%
1998      11.17%
1999      10.33%
2000      15.47%
2001      11.81%
2002      17.23%
2003      16.70%
2004      26.85%
2005      10.74%
2006      -1.57%
2007      -9.46%
2008      -18.21%
2009      -3.59%
2010      0.15%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.54%         Rank: 109 of 381 (71st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -4.7%          Rank: 237 of 381 (37th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -32%           Rank: 328 of 381 (13th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   33%            Rank: 137 of 381 (64th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            96%            Rank: 125 of 351 (64th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        32.82%

Home Price appreciation rates for San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA are
shown above for five time periods. For example: San Diego appreciated 1.54%
in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the San Diego Real Estate Market was ranked
109th out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. San Diego
was in the 71st percentile. So San Diego, CA performed better in the Last
Quarter than 71% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: San Diego, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to San Diego-Carlsbad-San
Marcos, CA, hereinafter referred to as "San Diego". The all time high in the San
Diego Home Price Index was 322.9 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 3rd
Quarter, 2011 index value was 216.9. That's a decline of 105.96 points or
32.82% below the San Diego Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price
Index indicates that the San Diego Market is up 33% over the last 10 years.
Home Prices in the San Diego Real Estate Market have lost 4.67% over the last
12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 258%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 3.29 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 213.62, resulting in a 1.54% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the San
Diego Market.

The San Diego Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous 3 quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the
Home Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price
Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the San Diego Real Estate
Market was 32% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the San Diego Market was -19% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the San Diego Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 88% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1979. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the San Diego
Market was -31% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the San Diego Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of
2011. For more information about San Diego Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the San Diego Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of California. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about San Diego Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the San Diego Home Price Index is available back to the 1st
Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the San Diego Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the San Diego Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: San Diego, California

The appreciation of San Diego Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA, hereinafter referred to as "San Diego".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, San Diego Home Prices had a rank of 109, with
appreciation of 1.54%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market during
that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, San Diego Home Prices had a rank of 237, with
appreciation during the year of -4.67%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, San Diego Home Prices
ranked 328, with a total appreciation of -32.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 27%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, San Diego Home Prices
had a rank of 137, with appreciation during the decade of 33%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, San Diego Home Prices
had a rank of 125, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 96%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 214%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Merced,
CA, with appreciation of 6%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the San Diego Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1976. The chart has been
updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for San Diego. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)



PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast.   Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate),  Q1 (First Quarter),  Q2 (Second Quarter),  etc.

U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation)  -6.9%  (2012-Q3)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate:  3.25%  (November, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate:  2.95%  (November, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate:  0.00%  (November, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's):  732  (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate:  0.11%  (November, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall):  8.63%  (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-):  3.04%  (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel):  $92.4  (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU):  $3.37  (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index:   105  (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $15.6  (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $16.0  (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions:  $-1704  (2011)
National Debt (Trillions):  $14.6  (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate:  4.11%  (November, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index):  1245  (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average):  12030  (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions):  $2338  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions):  $3042  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate:  4.61%  (November, 2012)

































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