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Sherman, TX - House Price Index (HPI) - 22 Year Chart
Sherman Real Estate Market
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Sherman-Denison, TX single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, March 27, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Sherman Real Estate Index: 22 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Sherman Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10380
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Sherman, Texas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      71%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Sherman housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Sherman is 71%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 71% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Sherman is 71% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Sherman Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      81%

The forecast for the trend in the Sherman housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Sherman is 81%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 81% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Sherman is 81% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Sherman
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Sherman, Texas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -5.14%
Last Year                              -1.9%
Last 5 Years                         -4%
Last 10 Years                       17%
Last 20 Years                       75%
Decline From All Time High   6.82%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988      -11.88%
1989      6.31%
1990      2.69%
1991      -1.78%
1992      6.27%
1993      2.18%
1994      1.57%
1995      5.30%
1996      2.22%
1997      0.96%
1998      6.63%
1999      5.24%
2000      4.81%
2001      6.03%
2002      5.15%
2003      -0.56%
2004      3.39%
2005      5.01%
2006      7.29%
2007      -0.32%
2008      2.23%
2009      -4.06%
2010      0.28%
2011      -1.93%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -5.14%        Rank: 380 of 381 (Bottom .20%)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -1.9%          Rank: 158 of 381 (58th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -4%             Rank: 160 of 381 (58th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   17%            Rank: 265 of 381 (30th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            75%            Rank: 232 of 355 (34th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        6.82%

Home Price appreciation rates for Sherman-Denison, TX are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Sherman appreciated -5.14% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Sherman Real Estate Market was ranked 380th out of
381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Sherman was in the
bottom .20%. So Sherman, TX performed better in the Last Quarter than 0% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Sherman, Texas

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Sherman-Denison, TX,
hereinafter referred to as "Sherman". The all time high in the Sherman Home
Price Index was 174.9 in the 3rd Quarter, of 2009. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index
value was 163.0. That's a decline of 11.92 points or 6.82% below the Sherman
Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
Sherman Market is up 17% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Sherman
Real Estate Market have lost 1.93% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 8.84 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 171.82, resulting in a 5.14% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Sherman Market.

The Sherman Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Sherman Real Estate Market
was 9% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1996. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Sherman Market was -12% in the twelve
months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1988.

The highest home appreciation in the Sherman Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 18% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2000.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Sherman Market
was -12% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 1990.

This page provides a long term graph of the Sherman Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Sherman Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Sherman Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Texas. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Sherman Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Sherman Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Sherman Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Sherman Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Sherman, Texas

The appreciation of Sherman Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Sherman-Denison, TX, hereinafter referred to as "Sherman".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Sherman Home Prices had a rank of 380, with
appreciation of -5.14%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Sherman Home Prices had a rank of 158, with
appreciation during the year of -1.93%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Sherman Home Prices
ranked 160, with a total appreciation of -3.8%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Sherman Home Prices
had a rank of 265, with appreciation during the decade of 17%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Sherman Home Prices
had a rank of 232, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 75%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Sherman Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Sherman. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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