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Vallejo, CA - House Price Index (HPI) - 30 Year Chart
Vallejo Real Estate Market (CA)
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Vallejo-Fairfield, CA single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Wednesday, March 28, 2012.
Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Vallejo Real Estate Index: 30 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Vallejo Home Price Index Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10413
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Vallejo, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Vallejo housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Vallejo is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Vallejo is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Vallejo Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

The forecast for the trend in the Vallejo housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Vallejo is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Vallejo is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Vallejo Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Vallejo, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.37%
Last Year                              -8.9%
Last 5 Years                         -54%
Last 10 Years                       -15%
Last 20 Years                       26%
Decline From All Time High   54.88%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982      -4.99%
1983      5.50%
1984      0.86%
1985      7.21%
1986      6.62%
1987      4.11%
1988      11.07%
1989      18.55%
1990      10.26%
1991      1.73%
1992      -1.90%
1993      -2.26%
1994      -4.36%
1995      -1.28%
1996      -2.01%
1997      3.14%
1998      5.70%
1999      12.56%
2000      19.09%
2001      14.84%
2002      12.38%
2003      13.04%
2004      21.84%
2005      20.01%
2006      -0.62%
2007      -13.31%
2008      -32.91%
2009      -10.54%
2010      -3.10%
2011      -8.86%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.37%        Rank: 283 of 381 (25th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -8.9%          Rank: 368 of 381 (3rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -54%           Rank: 377 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -15%           Rank: 373 of 381 (2nd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            26%            Rank: 350 of 355 (1st Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        54.88%

Home Price appreciation rates for Vallejo-Fairfield, CA are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Vallejo appreciated -0.37% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Vallejo Real Estate Market was ranked 283rd out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Vallejo was in the 25th
percentile. So Vallejo, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 25% of the
381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Vallejo, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Vallejo-Fairfield, CA, hereinafter
referred to as "Vallejo". The all time high in the Vallejo Home Price Index was
313.2 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was
141.3. That's a decline of 171.87 points or 54.88% below the Vallejo Home
Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Vallejo
Market is down 15% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Vallejo Real
Estate Market have lost 8.86% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty
years, it is up 124%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.52 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 141.83, resulting in a 0.37% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Vallejo Market.

The Vallejo Home Price Index has declined for the last 5 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters. The current
record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index are Wheeling,
WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the
last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Vallejo Real Estate Market
was 24% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2005. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Vallejo Market was -33% in the twelve
months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Vallejo Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 65% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2005.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Vallejo Market was
-49% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Vallejo Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Vallejo Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Vallejo
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of California. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Vallejo Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Vallejo Home Price Index is available back to the 2nd
Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Vallejo Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Vallejo Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Vallejo, California

The appreciation of Vallejo Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Vallejo-Fairfield, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Vallejo".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Vallejo Home Prices had a rank of 283, with
appreciation of -0.37%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Vallejo Home Prices had a rank of 368, with
appreciation during the year of -8.86%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Vallejo Home Prices
ranked 377, with a total appreciation of -54.1%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Vallejo Home Prices had
a rank of 373, with appreciation during the decade of -15%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Vallejo Home Prices had
a rank of 350, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 26%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Vallejo Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1978. The chart has been
updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Vallejo. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)




























































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