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Monthly close for the Hang Seng Stock Index is plotted in gray. The forecast for the target month is
shown in green. See other links related to this stock index below.
shown in green. See other links related to this stock index below.
| Hang Seng Stock Index - 5 Year History |
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| Hang Seng Index Forecast |
| Hang Seng Index Forecast Dow Jones Multi-Index Charts & Analysis |
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Market Commentary 4822
August, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
August, 2010 close 20536
Decline From All Time High 35%
10 Year Return 22%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 60%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23176.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4669 which suggests that the September, 2011
Hang Seng could easily close anywhere between 27844 and 18507. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The August, 2010 close was 20536. That's a decline of
11102 points or 35% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 22% over the last 10 years. It has gained 4% over the last 12
months.
The August close was 493.32 points lower than the July, 2010 close of 21030,
resulting in a 2.35% decline for August.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The August, 2010 close at 20536.49 represents a 60% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 4% / 34th 110% / 13% / -59%
2 Year -3% / 28th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 17% / 30th 326% / 64% / -33%
8 Year 103% / 53rd 571% / 132% / -20%
16 Year 124% / 9th 688% / 358% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (9/2008 - 8/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-3%. That period scored in the 28th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 28% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 268
2 Year: 256
4 Year: 232
8 Year: 184
16 Year: 88
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4746
July, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
July, 2010 close 21030
Decline From All Time High 34%
10 Year Return 28%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 64%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23762.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4812 which suggests that the August, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 28574 and 18950. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The July, 2010 close was 21030. That's a decline of 10608
points or 34% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 28% over the last 10 years. It has gained 2% over the last 12
months.
The July close was 900.82 points higher than the June, 2010 close of 20129,
resulting in a 4.48% rise in July.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The July, 2010 close at 21029.81 represents a 64% gain since February,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 2% / 34th 110% / 13% / -59%
2 Year -7% / 25th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 23% / 33rd 326% / 65% / -33%
8 Year 97% / 51st 571% / 132% / -20%
16 Year 136% / 9th 688% / 360% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (8/2008 - 7/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-7%. That period scored in the 25th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 25% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 267
2 Year: 255
4 Year: 231
8 Year: 183
16 Year: 87
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4136
June, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
June, 2010 close 20129
Decline From All Time High 36%
10 Year Return 44%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 57%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 22739.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4645 which suggests that the July, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 27385 and 18094. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The June, 2010 close was 20129. That's a decline of 11509
points or 36% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 44% over the last 10 years. It has gained 10% over the last 12
months.
The June close was 363.80 points higher than the May, 2010 close of 19765,
resulting in a 1.84% rise in June.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The June, 2010 close at 20128.99 represents a 57% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 10% / 41st 110% / 14% / -59%
2 Year -9% / 25th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 24% / 34th 326% / 65% / -33%
8 Year 79% / 47th 571% / 133% / -20%
16 Year 106% / 3rd 688% / 363% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (7/2008 - 6/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-9%. That period scored in the 25th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 25% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 266
2 Year: 254
4 Year: 230
8 Year: 182
16 Year: 86
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4060
May, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
May, 2010 close 19765
Decline From All Time High 38%
10 Year Return 30%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 54%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 22377.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4621 which suggests that the June, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 26998 and 17756. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The May, 2010 close was 19765. That's a decline of 11873
points or 38% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 30% over the last 10 years. It has gained 9% over the last 12
months.
The May close was 1343.40 points lower than the April, 2010 close of 21109,
resulting in a 6.36% decline for May.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The May, 2010 close at 19765.19 represents a 54% gain since February,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 9% / 40th 110% / 14% / -59%
2 Year -19% / 18th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 23% / 33rd 326% / 65% / -33%
8 Year 68% / 43rd 571% / 133% / -20%
16 Year 93% / 2nd 688% / 366% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (6/2008 - 5/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-19%. That period scored in the 18th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 18% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 265
2 Year: 253
4 Year: 229
8 Year: 181
16 Year: 85
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 3984
April, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
April, 2010 close 21109
Decline From All Time High 33%
10 Year Return 20%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 65%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23627.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4925 which suggests that the May, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 28552 and 18701. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The April, 2010 close was 21109. That's a decline of 10530
points or 33% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 20% over the last 10 years. It has gained 36% over the last 12
months.
The April close was 130.76 points lower than the March, 2010 close of 21239,
resulting in a 0.62% decline for April.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The April, 2010 close at 21108.59 represents a 65% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 36% / 81st 110% / 14% / -59%
2 Year -18% / 18th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 25% / 33rd 326% / 65% / -33%
8 Year 98% / 51st 571% / 133% / -20%
16 Year 74% / 0 PCTL 688% / 369% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (5/2008 - 4/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-18%. That period scored in the 18th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 18% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of panic. If the market stays flat for 4 more years, it will break the 8
year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50% minus -30% equals -20%.) 50
plus year records are not often broken. That provides reason to hope that the
market will recover that 20% over the next 4 years. If it does, then the 8 year
loss will be 30%. The longest index histories are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100
with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ 100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 264
2 Year: 252
4 Year: 228
8 Year: 180
16 Year: 84
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 3374
March, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 24582.
The table shows a HDTFA of 5139 which suggests that the April, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 29721 and 19444. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The March, 2010 close was 21239. That's a decline of 10399
points or 33% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 25% over the last 10 years. It has gained 56% over the last 12
months.
The March close was 630.65 points higher than the February, 2010 close of
20609, resulting in a 3.06% rise in March.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The March, 2010 close at 21239.35 represents a 66% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Market Commentary 3298
February, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23768.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4961 which suggests that the March, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 28729 and 18807. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The February, 2010 close was 20609. That's a decline of
11030 points or 35% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 35% over the last 10 years. It has gained 61% over the last 12
months.
The February close was 486.71 points higher than the January, 2010 close of
20122, resulting in a 2.42% rise in February.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The February, 2010 close at 20608.7 represents a 61% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 3222
January, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23400.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4876 which suggests that the February, 2011
Hang Seng could easily close anywhere between 28276 and 18525. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The January, 2010 close was 20122. That's a decline of
11516 points or 36% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 24% over the last 10 years. It has gained 52% over the last 12
months.
The January close was 1750.51 points lower than the December, 2009 close of
21873, resulting in a 8.00% decline for January.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The January, 2010 close at 20121.99 represents a 57% gain since February,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index,
excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2231
December, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 24443. The table shows
a HDTFA of 5070 which suggests that the January, 2011 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 29513 and 19373. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The December, 2009 close was 21873. That's a decline of
9766 points or 31% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 42% over the last 10 years. It has gained 52% over the last 12
months.
The December close was 51.00 points higher than the November, 2009 close of
21822, resulting in a 0.23% rise in December.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The December, 2009 close at 21872.5 represents a 71% gain since February,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index,
excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2155
November, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 24156. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4957 which suggests that the December, 2010 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 29113 and 19200. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The November, 2009 close was 21822. That's a decline of
9817 points or 31% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 70% over the last 10 years. It has gained 57% over the last 12
months.
The November close was 68.63 points higher than the October, 2009 close of
21753, resulting in a 0.32% rise in November.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The November, 2009 close at 21821.5 represents a 70% gain since February,
2009.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2079
October, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23881. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4861 which suggests that the November, 2010 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 28742 and 19020. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The October, 2009 close was 21753. That's a decline of
9885 points or 31% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 62% over the last 10 years. It has gained 56% over the last 12
months.
The October close was 797.62 points higher than the September, 2009 close of
20955, resulting in a 3.81% rise in October.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The October, 2009 close at 21752.87 represents a 70% gain since February,
2009.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 1088
September, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 22825. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4647 which suggests that the October, 2010 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 27472 and 18178. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The September, 2009 close was 20955. That's a decline of
10683 points or 34% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 54% over the last 10 years. It has gained 16% over the last 12
months.
The September close was 1231.06 points higher than the August, 2009 close of
19724, resulting in a 6.24% rise in September.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The September, 2009 close at 20955.25 represents a 64% gain since
February, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 1012
August, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 21540. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4368 which suggests that the September, 2010 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 25908 and 17172. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The August, 2009 close was 19724. That's a decline of
11914 points or 38% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 48% over the last 10 years. It has lost 7% over the last 12
months.
The August close was 849.14 points lower than the July, 2009 close of 20573,
resulting in a 4.13% decline for August.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The August, 2009 close at 19724.19 represents a 54% gain since February,
2009.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 936
July, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 22555. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4557 which suggests that the August, 2010 Hang Seng could easily
close anywhere between 27112 and 17998. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The July, 2009 close was 20573. That's a decline of 11065
points or 35% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 47% over the last 10 years. It has lost 9% over the last 12 months.
The July close was 2194.60 points higher than the June, 2009 close of 18379,
resulting in a 11.94% rise in July.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12432 in August of 2004.
The July, 2009 close at 20573.33 represents a 65% gain since August, 2004.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
June, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 20437. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4121 which suggests that the July, 2010 Hang Seng could easily
close anywhere between 24558 and 16315. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The June, 2009 close was 18379. That's a decline of 13259
points or 42% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 49% over the last 10 years. It has lost 17% over the last 12 months.
The June close was 207.73 points higher than the May, 2009 close of 18171,
resulting in a 1.14% rise in June.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12320 in July of 2004. The
June, 2009 close at 18378.73 represents a 49% gain since July, 2004.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to May, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table below presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
_____________________________________________________________
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August, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
August, 2010 close 20536
Decline From All Time High 35%
10 Year Return 22%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 60%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23176.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4669 which suggests that the September, 2011
Hang Seng could easily close anywhere between 27844 and 18507. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The August, 2010 close was 20536. That's a decline of
11102 points or 35% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 22% over the last 10 years. It has gained 4% over the last 12
months.
The August close was 493.32 points lower than the July, 2010 close of 21030,
resulting in a 2.35% decline for August.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The August, 2010 close at 20536.49 represents a 60% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 4% / 34th 110% / 13% / -59%
2 Year -3% / 28th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 17% / 30th 326% / 64% / -33%
8 Year 103% / 53rd 571% / 132% / -20%
16 Year 124% / 9th 688% / 358% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (9/2008 - 8/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-3%. That period scored in the 28th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 28% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 268
2 Year: 256
4 Year: 232
8 Year: 184
16 Year: 88
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4746
July, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
July, 2010 close 21030
Decline From All Time High 34%
10 Year Return 28%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 64%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23762.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4812 which suggests that the August, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 28574 and 18950. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The July, 2010 close was 21030. That's a decline of 10608
points or 34% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 28% over the last 10 years. It has gained 2% over the last 12
months.
The July close was 900.82 points higher than the June, 2010 close of 20129,
resulting in a 4.48% rise in July.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The July, 2010 close at 21029.81 represents a 64% gain since February,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 2% / 34th 110% / 13% / -59%
2 Year -7% / 25th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 23% / 33rd 326% / 65% / -33%
8 Year 97% / 51st 571% / 132% / -20%
16 Year 136% / 9th 688% / 360% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (8/2008 - 7/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-7%. That period scored in the 25th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 25% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 267
2 Year: 255
4 Year: 231
8 Year: 183
16 Year: 87
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4136
June, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
June, 2010 close 20129
Decline From All Time High 36%
10 Year Return 44%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 57%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 22739.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4645 which suggests that the July, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 27385 and 18094. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The June, 2010 close was 20129. That's a decline of 11509
points or 36% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 44% over the last 10 years. It has gained 10% over the last 12
months.
The June close was 363.80 points higher than the May, 2010 close of 19765,
resulting in a 1.84% rise in June.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The June, 2010 close at 20128.99 represents a 57% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 10% / 41st 110% / 14% / -59%
2 Year -9% / 25th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 24% / 34th 326% / 65% / -33%
8 Year 79% / 47th 571% / 133% / -20%
16 Year 106% / 3rd 688% / 363% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (7/2008 - 6/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-9%. That period scored in the 25th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 25% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 266
2 Year: 254
4 Year: 230
8 Year: 182
16 Year: 86
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4060
May, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
May, 2010 close 19765
Decline From All Time High 38%
10 Year Return 30%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 54%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 22377.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4621 which suggests that the June, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 26998 and 17756. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The May, 2010 close was 19765. That's a decline of 11873
points or 38% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 30% over the last 10 years. It has gained 9% over the last 12
months.
The May close was 1343.40 points lower than the April, 2010 close of 21109,
resulting in a 6.36% decline for May.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The May, 2010 close at 19765.19 represents a 54% gain since February,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 9% / 40th 110% / 14% / -59%
2 Year -19% / 18th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 23% / 33rd 326% / 65% / -33%
8 Year 68% / 43rd 571% / 133% / -20%
16 Year 93% / 2nd 688% / 366% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (6/2008 - 5/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-19%. That period scored in the 18th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 18% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 265
2 Year: 253
4 Year: 229
8 Year: 181
16 Year: 85
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 3984
April, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 31638 (October, 2007)
April, 2010 close 21109
Decline From All Time High 33%
10 Year Return 20%
5 Year Low 12812 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 65%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23627.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4925 which suggests that the May, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 28552 and 18701. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The April, 2010 close was 21109. That's a decline of 10530
points or 33% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 20% over the last 10 years. It has gained 36% over the last 12
months.
The April close was 130.76 points lower than the March, 2010 close of 21239,
resulting in a 0.62% decline for April.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The April, 2010 close at 21108.59 represents a 65% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2010: Hang Seng Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 36% / 81st 110% / 14% / -59%
2 Year -18% / 18th 168% / 27% / -42%
4 Year 25% / 33rd 326% / 65% / -33%
8 Year 98% / 51st 571% / 133% / -20%
16 Year 74% / 0 PCTL 688% / 369% / 74%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (5/2008 - 4/2010), the Hang Seng Index returned
-18%. That period scored in the 18th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 18% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1987 returned 168%. The worst returned -42%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 27%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of panic. If the market stays flat for 4 more years, it will break the 8
year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50% minus -30% equals -20%.) 50
plus year records are not often broken. That provides reason to hope that the
market will recover that 20% over the next 4 years. If it does, then the 8 year
loss will be 30%. The longest index histories are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100
with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ 100
The number of periods in each category for the Hang Seng Index are as follows:
1 Year: 264
2 Year: 252
4 Year: 228
8 Year: 180
16 Year: 84
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 3374
March, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 24582.
The table shows a HDTFA of 5139 which suggests that the April, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 29721 and 19444. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The March, 2010 close was 21239. That's a decline of 10399
points or 33% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 25% over the last 10 years. It has gained 56% over the last 12
months.
The March close was 630.65 points higher than the February, 2010 close of
20609, resulting in a 3.06% rise in March.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The March, 2010 close at 21239.35 represents a 66% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Market Commentary 3298
February, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23768.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4961 which suggests that the March, 2011 Hang
Seng could easily close anywhere between 28729 and 18807. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The February, 2010 close was 20609. That's a decline of
11030 points or 35% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 35% over the last 10 years. It has gained 61% over the last 12
months.
The February close was 486.71 points higher than the January, 2010 close of
20122, resulting in a 2.42% rise in February.
The 5 year market low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of
2009. The February, 2010 close at 20608.7 represents a 61% gain since
February, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the Hang Seng
Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 3222
January, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23400.
The table shows a HDTFA of 4876 which suggests that the February, 2011
Hang Seng could easily close anywhere between 28276 and 18525. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of
this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The January, 2010 close was 20122. That's a decline of
11516 points or 36% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 24% over the last 10 years. It has gained 52% over the last 12
months.
The January close was 1750.51 points lower than the December, 2009 close of
21873, resulting in a 8.00% decline for January.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The January, 2010 close at 20121.99 represents a 57% gain since February,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index,
excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2231
December, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 24443. The table shows
a HDTFA of 5070 which suggests that the January, 2011 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 29513 and 19373. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The December, 2009 close was 21873. That's a decline of
9766 points or 31% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 42% over the last 10 years. It has gained 52% over the last 12
months.
The December close was 51.00 points higher than the November, 2009 close of
21822, resulting in a 0.23% rise in December.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The December, 2009 close at 21872.5 represents a 71% gain since February,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June,
1987. All calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index,
excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2155
November, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 24156. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4957 which suggests that the December, 2010 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 29113 and 19200. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The November, 2009 close was 21822. That's a decline of
9817 points or 31% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 70% over the last 10 years. It has gained 57% over the last 12
months.
The November close was 68.63 points higher than the October, 2009 close of
21753, resulting in a 0.32% rise in November.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The November, 2009 close at 21821.5 represents a 70% gain since February,
2009.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2079
October, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 23881. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4861 which suggests that the November, 2010 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 28742 and 19020. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The October, 2009 close was 21753. That's a decline of
9885 points or 31% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 62% over the last 10 years. It has gained 56% over the last 12
months.
The October close was 797.62 points higher than the September, 2009 close of
20955, resulting in a 3.81% rise in October.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The October, 2009 close at 21752.87 represents a 70% gain since February,
2009.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 1088
September, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 22825. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4647 which suggests that the October, 2010 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 27472 and 18178. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The September, 2009 close was 20955. That's a decline of
10683 points or 34% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 54% over the last 10 years. It has gained 16% over the last 12
months.
The September close was 1231.06 points higher than the August, 2009 close of
19724, resulting in a 6.24% rise in September.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The September, 2009 close at 20955.25 represents a 64% gain since
February, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 1012
August, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 21540. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4368 which suggests that the September, 2010 Hang Seng could
easily close anywhere between 25908 and 17172. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The August, 2009 close was 19724. That's a decline of
11914 points or 38% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang
Seng Index is up 48% over the last 10 years. It has lost 7% over the last 12
months.
The August close was 849.14 points lower than the July, 2009 close of 20573,
resulting in a 4.13% decline for August.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12812 in February of 2009.
The August, 2009 close at 19724.19 represents a 54% gain since February,
2009.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 936
July, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 22555. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4557 which suggests that the August, 2010 Hang Seng could easily
close anywhere between 27112 and 17998. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The July, 2009 close was 20573. That's a decline of 11065
points or 35% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 47% over the last 10 years. It has lost 9% over the last 12 months.
The July close was 2194.60 points higher than the June, 2009 close of 18379,
resulting in a 11.94% rise in July.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12432 in August of 2004.
The July, 2009 close at 20573.33 represents a 65% gain since August, 2004.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to June, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
June, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Hang Seng Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Hang Seng Stock Index of 20437. The table shows
a HDTFA of 4121 which suggests that the July, 2010 Hang Seng could easily
close anywhere between 24558 and 16315. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Hang Seng Index was 31638 in
October, of 2007. The June, 2009 close was 18379. That's a decline of 13259
points or 42% below the Hang Seng Stock Index all time high. The Hang Seng
Index is up 49% over the last 10 years. It has lost 17% over the last 12 months.
The June close was 207.73 points higher than the May, 2009 close of 18171,
resulting in a 1.14% rise in June.
The 5 year low for the Hang Seng Stock Index was 12320 in July of 2004. The
June, 2009 close at 18378.73 represents a 49% gain since July, 2004.
Our historical research covers the Hang Seng back to May, 1987. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Hang Seng Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Hang Seng Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Hang Seng Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table below presents historical data on the Hang Seng Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
_____________________________________________________________
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