Commentary  6092 h
HOUSING INFLATION RATE
April, 2012 Data:

The forecast for the Housing Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page.
Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that Housing Inflation Rates will be roughly
1.88% over the next year. The table shows a HDTFA of 1.71% which suggests
that the inflation rate for housing prices in the US for the 12 months ending
May, 2013 could easily fall between 3.59% and 0.17%. Links to Forecasts for
many other economic indicators may be found on the left side of this page. The
housing price index used in this article is the Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers: Housing, hereinafter referred as the housing price index.

Annual Housing Inflation Rate
Last Month                                       1.1%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.8%
Last 5 Years                                     1.5%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2%
Last 20 Years                                   2.5%

Annual Housing Inflation Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months)                      1.9%   (March, 2012)
Low (Last 12 Months)                       1.0%   (May, 2011)
High (Since January, 1968)            18.3%   (July, 1980)
Low (Since January, 1968)            -0.7%   (August, 2009)

The annual Housing Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in April, 2012 was
1.83%. That's 0.12% percent lower than the 12 months ended in March, 2012
which inflated at a rate of 1.95%. It is 1.05% percent higher than the 12 months
ended in April, 2011 which inflated at a rate of 0.78%.  The fall in inflation rates
from March to April indicates that the short term inflation trend in housing prices
has been down. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for the
12 months ended in May, 2012 that is close to 1.71%.

The Housing Inflation Rate one year ago was 0.78%. Over the last year,
inflation in the housing price index was 1.83%. The average rate over the last
10 years was 2.20%.  Lower inflation over the last 12 months compared to the
average inflation over the last 10 years serves as an indicator that the long
term trend in the Housing Inflation Rate is down. Inflation expectations should
be adjusted accordingly.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers Housing Inflation Rate data
back to January, 1968. The average annual inflation rate in housing prices
during that period of history was 4.60%. The highest rate was 18.30%. The
lowest rate was -0.69%.  The high was attained in the 12 months ended in July
of 1980. The low was achieved in the 12 months ended in August of 2009.
Recent rates experienced in the 12 months ended in April of 2012 are low
relative to the historical 4.60% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Housing Inflation
Rate. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Housing Inflation Rate. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's
long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the
financial markets.

The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
































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Annual US Inflation Rate for Housing is plotted monthly in gray (Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers: Housing). The forecast for the target month is shown in green. Other links related to this
economic indicator are below.
Inflation Rate for All Urban Consumers: Housing - 5 Year History
Housing Inflation Rate Forecast
Target Month
Forecast
HDTFA
Forecast for the Housing Inflation Rate for the year
ending in the target month indicated based on the
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers:
Housing, not seasonally adjusted.
May 2013
1.88%
1.71%
Updated Thursday, May 24, 2012.
Housing Inflation Forecast - USA
Inflation Rate Forecast: Housing
Inflation: Food, Energy, Housing, Medical etc.
1%
2%
3%
4%
0%
-1%
-2%
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