Commentary  6092 r
RECREATION INFLATION RATE
April, 2012 Data:

The forecast for the Recreation Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this
page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that Recreation Inflation Rates will be
roughly 0.43% over the next year. The table shows a HDTFA of 0.82% which
suggests that the inflation rate for recreation prices in the US for the 12 months
ending May, 2013 could easily fall between 1.25% and -0.38%. Links to
Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left side of
this page. The recreation price index used in this article is the Consumer Price
Index for All Urban Consumers: Recreation, hereinafter referred as the
recreation price index.

Annual Recreation Inflation Rate
Last Month                                       -0.2%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2%
Last 5 Years                                     0.5%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.8%
Last 20 Years                                   1.3%

Annual Recreation Inflation Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months)                      1.4%   (February, 2012)
Low (Last 12 Months)                       -0.4%   (May, 2011)
High (Since January, 1994)            3.4%   (August, 1996)
Low (Since January, 1994)            -1.3%   (October, 2010)

The annual Recreation Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in April, 2012
was 1.23%. That's 0.09% percent lower than the 12 months ended in March,
2012 which inflated at a rate of 1.32%. It is 1.30% percent higher than the 12
months ended in April, 2011 which inflated at a rate of -0.07%.  The fall in
inflation rates from March to April indicates that the short term inflation trend in
recreation prices has been down. If that trend continues, we should see an
inflation rate for the 12 months ended in May, 2012 that is close to 1.15%.

The Recreation Inflation Rate one year ago was -0.07%. Over the last year,
inflation in the recreation price index was 1.23%. The average rate over the last
10 years was 0.77%.  Higher inflation over the last 12 months compared to the
average inflation over the last 10 years serves as an indicator that the long
term trend in the Recreation Inflation Rate is up. Inflation expectations should
be adjusted accordingly.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers Recreation Inflation Rate data
back to January, 1994. The average annual inflation rate in recreation prices
during that period of history was 1.25%. The highest rate was 3.39%. The
lowest rate was -1.32%.  The high was attained in the 12 months ended in
August of 1996. The low was achieved in the 12 months ended in October of
2010. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months ended in April of 2012 are
similar to the historical 1.25% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Recreation Inflation
Rate. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Recreation Inflation Rate. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of the financial markets.

The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
































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Annual US Inflation Rate for the cost of Recreation is plotted monthly in gray (Consumer Price Index
for All Urban Consumers: Recreation). The forecast for the target month is shown in green. Other
links related to this economic indicator are below.
Inflation Rate for All Urban Consumers: Recreation - 5 Year History
Recreation Inflation Rate Forecast
Target Month
Forecast
HDTFA
Forecast for US Recreation Inflation Rate for the year
ending in the target month indicated based on the
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers:
Recreation, not seasonally adjusted.
May 2013
0.43%
0.82%
Updated Thursday, May 24, 2012.
Recreation Cost Inflation
Inflation Rate Forecast: Recreation
Inflation: Food, Energy, Housing, Medical etc.
0%
1%
2%
3%
-1%
-2%
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