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Athens, GA - House Price Index (HPI) - 23 Year Chart
Athens Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Athens-Clarke County, GA single family home prices
in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Wednesday, January 25,
2012. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Athens Real Estate Index: 23 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Athens Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  9315
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Athens, Georgia


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      94%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Athens housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Athens is 94%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 94% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Athens is 94% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Athens Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      91%

The forecast for the trend in the Athens housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Athens is 91%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 91% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Athens is 91% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Athens Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Athens, Georgia


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -1.53%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -7.5%
Last 5 Years                                     -10%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Last 20 Years                                   81%
Decline From All Time High               14.45%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981        n/a
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986      3.58%
1987      2.69%
1988      3.81%
1989      6.85%
1990      -2.61%
1991      3.31%
1992      3.20%
1993      3.04%
1994      4.22%
1995      6.61%
1996      4.39%
1997      4.80%
1998      5.16%
1999      6.13%
2000      6.13%
2001      6.07%
2002      5.59%
2003      3.79%
2004      6.02%
2005      3.54%
2006      4.94%
2007      2.03%
2008      0.80%
2009      -5.33%
2010      -3.04%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -1.53%        Rank: 351 of 381 (7th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -7.5%          Rank: 318 of 381 (16th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -10%           Rank: 225 of 381 (41st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   14%            Rank: 295 of 381 (22nd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            81%            Rank: 210 of 351 (40th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        14.45%

Home Price appreciation rates for Athens-Clarke County, GA are shown above
for five time periods. For example: Athens appreciated -1.53% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Athens Real Estate Market was ranked 351st out of
381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Athens was in the 7th
percentile. So Athens, GA performed better in the Last Quarter than 7% of the
381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Athens, Georgia

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Athens-Clarke County, GA,
hereinafter referred to as "Athens". The all time high in the Athens Home Price
Index was 191.2 in the 1st Quarter, of 2008. The 3rd Quarter, 2011 index value
was 163.6. That's a decline of 27.64 points or 14.45% below the Athens Home
Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Athens
Market is up 14% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Athens Real Estate
Market have lost 7.50% over the last 12 months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 2.54 points lower than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 166.13, resulting in a 1.53% decline for the 3rd Quarter in the
Athens Market.

The Athens Home Price Index has declined for the last 6 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index is Bismarck,
ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Athens Real Estate Market
was 8% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2001. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Athens Market was -8% in the twelve
months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

The highest home appreciation in the Athens Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 20% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2001.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Athens Market was
-13% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Athens Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Athens Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Athens
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Georgia. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Athens Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Athens Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1985. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Athens Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Athens Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Athens, Georgia

The appreciation of Athens Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Athens-Clarke County, GA, hereinafter referred to as "Athens".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Athens Home Prices had a rank of 351, with
appreciation of -1.53%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market during
that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Athens Home Prices had a rank of 318, with
appreciation during the year of -7.50%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Athens Home Prices
ranked 225, with a total appreciation of -9.9%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 27%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Athens Home Prices had
a rank of 295, with appreciation during the decade of 14%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Athens Home Prices had
a rank of 210, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 81%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 214%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Merced,
CA, with appreciation of 6%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Athens Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1985. The chart has been
updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Athens. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)



PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast.   Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate),  Q1 (First Quarter),  Q2 (Second Quarter),  etc.

U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation)  -1.9%  (2012-Q4)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate:  3.25%  (December, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate:  2.93%  (December, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate:  0.00%  (December, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's):  732  (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate:  0.11%  (December, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall):  8.63%  (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-):  3.04%  (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel):  $92.4  (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU):  $3.37  (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index:   105  (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $15.6  (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $16.0  (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions:  $-1704  (2011)
National Debt (Trillions):  $14.6  (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate:  4.03%  (December, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index):  1245  (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average):  12030  (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions):  $2338  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions):  $3042  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate:  4.61%  (November, 2012)

































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