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Atlanta, GA - House Price Index (HPI) - 32 Year Chart
Atlanta Real Estate Market
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA single family
home prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated January 25,
2012. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Atlanta Real Estate Index: 32 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Atlanta Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  9316
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Atlanta, Georgia


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      93%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Atlanta housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Atlanta is 93%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 93% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Atlanta is 93% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Atlanta Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      91%

The forecast for the trend in the Atlanta housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Atlanta is 91%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 91% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Atlanta is 91% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Atlanta Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Atlanta, Georgia


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     1.15%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -8.5%
Last 5 Years                                     -18%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -1%
Last 20 Years                                   59%
Decline From All Time High               20.33%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981      8.91%
1982      3.85%
1983      4.24%
1984      6.76%
1985      6.63%
1986      6.37%
1987      4.96%
1988      2.81%
1989      3.11%
1990      -1.76%
1991      2.28%
1992      2.63%
1993      2.70%
1994      1.24%
1995      5.44%
1996      3.44%
1997      5.78%
1998      6.62%
1999      6.65%
2000      6.62%
2001      7.32%
2002      4.43%
2003      3.01%
2004      4.42%
2005      4.83%
2006      3.23%
2007      1.05%
2008      -4.29%
2009      -6.38%
2010      -4.21%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.15%         Rank: 153 of 381 (60th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -8.5%          Rank: 339 of 381 (11th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -18%           Rank: 286 of 381 (25th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -1%            Rank: 353 of 381 (7th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            59%            Rank: 290 of 351 (17th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        20.33%

Home Price appreciation rates for Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Atlanta appreciated 1.15% in
the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Atlanta Real Estate Market was ranked 153rd
out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Atlanta was in the
60th percentile. So Atlanta, GA performed better in the Last Quarter than 60%
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Atlanta, Georgia

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta,
GA, hereinafter referred to as "Atlanta". The all time high in the Atlanta Home
Price Index was 183.6 in the 2nd Quarter, of 2007. The 3rd Quarter, 2011 index
value was 146.3. That's a decline of 37.32 points or 20.33% below the Atlanta
Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Atlanta
Market is down 1% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Atlanta Real
Estate Market have lost 8.49% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty
years, it is up 139%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 1.66 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 144.62, resulting in a 1.15% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Atlanta Market.

The Atlanta Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous 3 quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the
Home Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price
Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Atlanta Real Estate Market
was 16% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1980. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Atlanta Market was -10% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest home appreciation in the Atlanta Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 36% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1981.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Atlanta Market was
-20% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Atlanta Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Atlanta Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Atlanta
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Georgia. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Atlanta Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Atlanta Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Atlanta Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Atlanta Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Atlanta, Georgia

The appreciation of Atlanta Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA, hereinafter referred to as "Atlanta".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Atlanta Home Prices had a rank of 153, with
appreciation of 1.15%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market during
that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Atlanta Home Prices had a rank of 339, with
appreciation during the year of -8.49%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Atlanta Home Prices
ranked 286, with a total appreciation of -18.1%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 27%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Atlanta Home Prices had
a rank of 353, with appreciation during the decade of -1%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Atlanta Home Prices had
a rank of 290, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 59%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 214%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Merced,
CA, with appreciation of 6%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Atlanta Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1976. The chart has been
updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Atlanta. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)



PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast.   Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate),  Q1 (First Quarter),  Q2 (Second Quarter),  etc.

U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation)  -1.9%  (2012-Q4)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate:  3.25%  (December, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate:  2.93%  (December, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate:  0.00%  (December, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's):  732  (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate:  0.11%  (December, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall):  8.63%  (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-):  3.04%  (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel):  $92.4  (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU):  $3.37  (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index:   105  (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $15.6  (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $16.0  (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions:  $-1704  (2011)
National Debt (Trillions):  $14.6  (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate:  4.03%  (December, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index):  1245  (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average):  12030  (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions):  $2338  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions):  $3042  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate:  4.61%  (November, 2012)

































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