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Boulder, CO - House Price Index (HPI) - 30 Year Chart
Boulder Real Estate Market Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Boulder, CO single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, April 17, 2012. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Boulder Real Estate Index: 30 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Boulder Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10103
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Boulder, Colorado


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Boulder housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Boulder is 84%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Boulder is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Boulder Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      88%

The forecast for the trend in the Boulder housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Boulder is 88%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 88% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Boulder is 88% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Boulder Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Boulder, Colorado


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.63%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -0.7%
Last 5 Years                                     2%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Last 20 Years                                   186%
Decline From All Time High               2.54%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982      7.46%
1983      -4.70%
1984      7.63%
1985      1.12%
1986      4.12%
1987      0.48%
1988      2.89%
1989      2.57%
1990      2.43%
1991      7.10%
1992      12.04%
1993      12.60%
1994      12.30%
1995      6.24%
1996      4.18%
1997      4.83%
1998      5.94%
1999      12.96%
2000      14.45%
2001      9.11%
2002      3.61%
2003      0.76%
2004      3.81%
2005      3.67%
2006      2.11%
2007      2.42%
2008      0.95%
2009      -0.95%
2010      -0.08%
2011      -0.75%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.63%         Rank: 130 of 381 (66th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -0.7%          Rank: 86 of 381 (77th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              2%              Rank: 96 of 381 (75th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   17%            Rank: 271 of 381 (28th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            186%          Rank: 3 of 355 (99th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        2.54%

Home Price appreciation rates for Boulder, CO are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Boulder appreciated 0.63% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Boulder Real Estate Market was ranked 130th out of 381 metropolitan
areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Boulder was in the 66th percentile. So
Boulder, CO performed better in the Last Quarter than 66% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Boulder, Colorado

The all time high in the Boulder Home Price Index was 205.6 in the 1st Quarter,
of 2009. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 200.4. That's a decline of 5.22
points or 2.54% below the Boulder Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Boulder Market is up 17% over the last 10 years.
Home Prices in the Boulder Real Estate Market have lost 0.75% over the last 12
months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 286%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 1.25 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 199.10, resulting in a 0.63% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Boulder Market.

The Boulder Home Price Index has increased for the last 3 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 4 consecutive quarters. The current record
holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with
declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Boulder Real Estate Market
was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1982. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Boulder Market was -5% in the twelve
months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1983.

The highest home appreciation in the Boulder Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 44% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1994.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Boulder Market
was -4% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Boulder Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Boulder Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Boulder
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Colorado. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Boulder Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Boulder Home Price Index is available back to the 2nd
Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Boulder Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Boulder Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Boulder, Colorado

The appreciation of Boulder Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Boulder Home Prices had a rank of 130, with
appreciation of 0.63%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Boulder Home Prices had a rank of 86, with
appreciation during the year of -0.75%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Boulder Home Prices
ranked 96, with a total appreciation of 1.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Boulder Home Prices
had a rank of 271, with appreciation during the decade of 17%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Boulder Home Prices
had a rank of 3, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 186%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Boulder Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1978. The chart has been
updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Boulder. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)




























































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