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Idaho Falls, ID - House Price Index (HPI) - 22 Year Chart
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Idaho Falls Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Idaho Falls, ID single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Updated Thursday, March 29, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Idaho Falls Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75 1/1980 1/1985 1/1990 1/1995 1/2000 1/2005 1/2010 1/15
Commentary 10219
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Idaho Falls, Idaho
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 85%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Idaho Falls housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Idaho Falls is 85%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Idaho Falls is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Idaho
Falls Real Estate Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 86%
The forecast for the trend in the Idaho Falls housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Idaho Falls is 86%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Idaho Falls is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Idaho Falls
Real Estate Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Idaho Falls, Idaho
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter -1.09%
Last Year -3.5%
Last 5 Years -6%
Last 10 Years 30%
Last 20 Years 74%
Decline From All Time High 13.73%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982 n/a
1983 n/a
1984 n/a
1985 n/a
1986 n/a
1987 -1.91%
1988 4.22%
1989 0.17%
1990 7.76%
1991 5.92%
1992 2.65%
1993 4.38%
1994 -0.56%
1995 3.52%
1996 1.23%
1997 6.47%
1998 3.42%
1999 1.07%
2000 2.32%
2001 5.10%
2002 3.58%
2003 3.66%
2004 6.88%
2005 9.32%
2006 10.60%
2007 7.25%
2008 -0.12%
2009 -5.06%
2010 -4.35%
2011 -3.53%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter -1.09% Rank: 331 of 381 (13th Percentile)
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -3.5% Rank: 243 of 381 (36th Percentile)
Last 5 Years -6% Rank: 187 of 381 (51st Percentile)
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . 30% Rank: 149 of 381 (61st Percentile)
Last 20 Years 74% Rank: 237 of 355 (33rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High 13.73%
Home Price appreciation rates for Idaho Falls, ID are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Idaho Falls appreciated -1.09% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Idaho Falls Real Estate Market was ranked 331st out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Idaho Falls was in the 13th
percentile. So Idaho Falls, ID performed better in the Last Quarter than 13% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Idaho Falls, Idaho
The all time high in the Idaho Falls Home Price Index was 187.7 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2008. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 162.0. That's a
decline of 25.77 points or 13.73% below the Idaho Falls Home Price Index all
time high. The Home Price Index indicates that the Idaho Falls Market is up
30% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Idaho Falls Real Estate Market
have lost 3.53% over the last 12 months.
The 4th Quarter index value was 1.78 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 163.75, resulting in a 1.09% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Idaho Falls Market.
The Idaho Falls Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Idaho Falls Real Estate
Market was 12% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2006. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Idaho Falls Market was -9% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.
The highest home appreciation in the Idaho Falls Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 33% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2007. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Idaho Falls
Market was -15% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.
This page provides a long term graph of the Idaho Falls Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Idaho Falls Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Idaho Falls Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Idaho. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Idaho Falls Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Idaho Falls Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Idaho Falls Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Idaho Falls Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.
Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Idaho Falls, Idaho
The appreciation of Idaho Falls Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed. Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.
Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Idaho Falls Home Prices had a rank of 331,
with appreciation of -1.09%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.
Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Idaho Falls Home Prices had a rank of 243, with
appreciation during the year of -3.53%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.
Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Idaho Falls Home Prices
ranked 187, with a total appreciation of -6.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.
Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Idaho Falls Home Prices
had a rank of 149, with appreciation during the decade of 30%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.
Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Idaho Falls Home Prices
had a rank of 237, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 74%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.
Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Idaho Falls Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Idaho Falls. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)
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