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Indianapolis, IN - House Price Index (HPI) - 31 Year Chart
Indianapolis Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Indianapolis-Carmel, IN single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Thursday, March 29, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Indianapolis Real Estate Index: 31 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Indianapolis Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10220
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Indianapolis, Indiana


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      91%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Indianapolis housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Indianapolis is 91%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 91% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Indianapolis is 91% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Indianapolis Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      90%

The forecast for the trend in the Indianapolis housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Indianapolis is 90%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 90% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Indianapolis is 90% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Indianapolis Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Indianapolis, Indiana


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.56%
Last Year                              -0.6%
Last 5 Years                         -2%
Last 10 Years                       9%
Last 20 Years                       58%
Decline From All Time High   3.85%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982      -6.55%
1983      4.09%
1984      5.08%
1985      4.25%
1986      5.32%
1987      7.59%
1988      5.01%
1989      4.20%
1990      3.41%
1991      4.67%
1992      3.55%
1993      3.20%
1994      2.38%
1995      5.91%
1996      3.18%
1997      4.28%
1998      3.90%
1999      2.24%
2000      3.98%
2001      4.93%
2002      3.02%
2003      2.10%
2004      2.60%
2005      3.28%
2006      0.49%
2007      0.71%
2008      -1.57%
2009      -0.83%
2010      -0.08%
2011      -0.65%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.56%         Rank: 145 of 381 (62nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -0.6%          Rank: 80 of 381 (79th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -2%             Rank: 144 of 381 (62nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   9%              Rank: 320 of 381 (16th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            58%            Rank: 291 of 355 (18th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        3.85%

Home Price appreciation rates for Indianapolis-Carmel, IN are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Indianapolis appreciated 0.56% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Indianapolis Real Estate Market was ranked 145th out
of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Indianapolis was in the
62nd percentile. So Indianapolis, IN performed better in the Last Quarter than
62% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Indianapolis, Indiana

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Indianapolis-Carmel, IN,
hereinafter referred to as "Indianapolis". The all time high in the Indianapolis
Home Price Index was 148.7 in the 1st Quarter, of 2008. The 4th Quarter, 2011
index value was 143.0. That's a decline of 5.73 points or 3.85% below the
Indianapolis Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates
that the Indianapolis Market is up 9% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the
Indianapolis Real Estate Market have lost 0.65% over the last 12 months. Over
the last thirty years, it is up 126%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.80 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 142.21, resulting in a 0.56% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Indianapolis Market.

The Indianapolis Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current record
holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with
declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Indianapolis Real Estate
Market was 18% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1978. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Indianapolis Market was -7% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1982.

The highest home appreciation in the Indianapolis Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 43% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1980. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Indianapolis
Market was -5% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Indianapolis Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Indianapolis Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Indianapolis Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Indiana. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Indianapolis Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Indianapolis Home Price Index is available back to the 2nd
Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Indianapolis Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Indianapolis Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Indianapolis, Indiana

The appreciation of Indianapolis Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Indianapolis-Carmel, IN, hereinafter referred to as "Indianapolis".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Indianapolis Home Prices had a rank of 145,
with appreciation of 0.56%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Indianapolis Home Prices had a rank of 80, with
appreciation during the year of -0.65%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Indianapolis Home Prices
ranked 144, with a total appreciation of -2.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Indianapolis Home
Prices had a rank of 320, with appreciation during the decade of 9%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Indianapolis Home
Prices had a rank of 291, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of
58%. The top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY,
with appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Indianapolis Real
Estate Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1977. The chart has
been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on
the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Indianapolis. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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