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Lake Havasu City, AZ - House Price Index (HPI) - 22 Year Chart
Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ single family home
prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, April 24,
2012. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Lake Havasu Real Estate Index: 22 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market: Trend & Analysis
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Commentary  10248
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Lake Havasu City, Arizona


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      63%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Lake Havasu City housing market for
the 12 months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of
the Trend Forecast for Lake Havasu City is 63%. In other words, when tested
against historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 63% of the
time. Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling
house prices in Lake Havasu City is 63% during this period. If this Housing
Market Forecast is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012
than they were in the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for
updates to the Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      62%

The forecast for the trend in the Lake Havasu City housing market for the 3
years ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Lake Havasu City is 62%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 62% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Lake Havasu City is 62% during this period. If this Housing Market
Forecast is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than
they were in the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates
to the Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Lake Havasu City, Arizona


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.86%
Last Year                              -3.0%
Last 5 Years                         -43%
Last 10 Years                       22%
Last 20 Years                       37%
Decline From All Time High   43.10%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987      0.63%
1988      2.33%
1989      8.13%
1990      14.80%
1991      7.54%
1992      -0.62%
1993      1.76%
1994      -6.03%
1995      3.57%
1996      -1.40%
1997      2.48%
1998      2.34%
1999      -3.69%
2000      7.52%
2001      7.07%
2002      10.90%
2003      16.28%
2004      24.78%
2005      22.58%
2006      7.68%
2007      -8.54%
2008      -18.78%
2009      -13.24%
2010      -8.27%
2011      -2.98%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.86%         Rank: 20 of 381 (95th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -3.0%          Rank: 217 of 381 (43rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -43%           Rank: 348 of 381 (8th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   22%            Rank: 225 of 381 (41st Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            37%            Rank: 340 of 355 (4th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        43.10%

Home Price appreciation rates for Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ are shown
above for five time periods. For example: Lake Havasu City appreciated 2.86%
in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market was
ranked 20th out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Lake
Havasu City was in the 95th percentile. So Lake Havasu City, AZ performed
better in the Last Quarter than 95% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Lake Havasu City, Arizona

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ,
hereinafter referred to as "Lake Havasu City". The all time high in the Lake
Havasu City Home Price Index was 260.3 in the 3rd Quarter, of 2006. The 4th
Quarter, 2011 index value was 148.1. That's a decline of 112.20 points or
43.10% below the Lake Havasu City Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Lake Havasu City Market is up 22% over the last
10 years. Home Prices in the Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market have lost
2.98% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 4.12 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 143.99, resulting in a 2.86% rise in the 4th Quarter for the Lake
Havasu City Market.

The Lake Havasu City Home Price Index has increased for the last 2
consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and
Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas,
NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Lake Havasu City Real Estate
Market was 27% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Lake Havasu City Market was -19%
in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market
over a three year period was 82% in the three years ended with the 2nd
Quarter of 2006. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the
Lake Havasu City Market was -39% in the three years ended with the 2nd
Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Lake Havasu City Home Price
Index (above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th
Quarter of 2011. For more information about Lake Havasu City Home Prices,
look at the links under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical
appreciation rates for the Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market. Another opens
a forecast for appreciation rates in the state of Arizona. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Lake Havasu City
Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Lake Havasu City Home Price Index is available back to
the 4th Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of
the House Price Index for the Lake Havasu City Market. The terms House Price
Index and Home Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing
Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Lake Havasu City Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Lake Havasu City, Arizona

The appreciation of Lake Havasu City Home Prices relative to 380 other
metropolitan areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or
more cities. Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies
the top and bottom performing markets as well as the average and median
performance for all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this
page pertains to Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ, hereinafter referred to as
"Lake Havasu City".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Lake Havasu City Home Prices had a rank of
20, with appreciation of 2.86%. The top performing real estate market during
the 4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Lake Havasu City Home Prices had a rank of 217,
with appreciation during the year of -2.98%. The top performing market during
the last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Lake Havasu City Home
Prices ranked 348, with a total appreciation of -42.6%. The top performing real
estate market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of
23%. The worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of
-62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Lake Havasu City Home
Prices had a rank of 225, with appreciation during the decade of 22%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Lake Havasu City Home
Prices had a rank of 340, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of
37%. The top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY,
with appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Lake Havasu City Real
Estate Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Lake Havasu City.
Real estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent
annual or quarterly rates of appreciation.)




























































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