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Los Angeles, CA - House Price Index (HPI) - 33 Year Chart
Los Angeles Real Estate Market
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA single family
home prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday,
September 30, 2011. Real estate forecasts, analysis and appreciation rates are provided below.
Los Angeles Real Estate Index: 33 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Los Angeles Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  9505
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Los Angeles, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Los Angeles housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Los Angeles is 86%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Los Angeles is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2012 than they were
in the 3rd Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Los Angeles Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      82%

The forecast for the trend in the Los Angeles housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Los Angeles is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in Los
Angeles is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 3rd Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Los Angeles
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Los Angeles, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.70%
Last Year                              -4.5%
Last 5 Years                         -32%
Last 10 Years                       58%
Last 20 Years                       84%
Decline From All Time High   32.44%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1981      7.35%
1982      0.45%
1983      1.96%
1984      3.96%
1985      6.75%
1986      8.55%
1987      15.66%
1988      23.61%
1989      20.06%
1990      -0.48%
1991      -0.57%
1992      -3.84%
1993      -6.64%
1994      -9.57%
1995      1.87%
1996      -2.51%
1997      4.99%
1998      10.04%
1999      5.68%
2000      8.97%
2001      10.04%
2002      15.11%
2003      17.77%
2004      26.89%
2005      23.33%
2006      7.88%
2007      -6.31%
2008      -21.15%
2009      -4.83%
2010      -0.17%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.70%         Rank: 192 of 381 (49th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -4.5%          Rank: 233 of 381 (38th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -32%           Rank: 329 of 381 (13th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   58%            Rank: 15 of 381 (96th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            84%            Rank: 187 of 351 (46th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        32.44%

Home Price appreciation rates for Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Los Angeles appreciated
0.70% in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Los Angeles Real Estate Market
was ranked 192nd out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation.
Los Angeles was in the 49th percentile. So Los Angeles, CA performed better in
the Last Quarter than 49% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Los Angeles, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Los Angeles-Long
Beach-Glendale, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Los Angeles". The all time high
in the Los Angeles Home Price Index was 336.6 in the 4th Quarter, of 2006.
The 3rd Quarter, 2011 index value was 227.4. That's a decline of 109.18 points
or 32.44% below the Los Angeles Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Los Angeles Market is up 58% over the last 10
years. Home Prices in the Los Angeles Real Estate Market have lost 4.45%
over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 285%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 1.57 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2011
index value of 225.81, resulting in a 0.70% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Los
Angeles Market.

The Los Angeles Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in
the previous 3 quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 6 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price
Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 19 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Los Angeles Real Estate
Market was 32% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Los Angeles Market was -21% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Los Angeles Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 86% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2006. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Los Angeles
Market was -31% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Los Angeles Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 3rd Quarter of
2011. For more information about Los Angeles Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Los Angeles Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of California. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Los Angeles Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Los Angeles Home Price Index is available back to the
2nd Quarter, of 1975. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the
House Price Index for the Los Angeles Market. The terms House Price Index
and Home Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing
Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Los Angeles Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Los Angeles, California

The appreciation of Los Angeles Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Los
Angeles".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Los Angeles Home Prices had a rank of 192,
with appreciation of 0.70%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Lewiston, ID, with appreciation of 7.64%. The worst market
during that period was Sumter, SC, with appreciation of -5.30%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 0.70%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.72%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Los Angeles Home Prices had a rank of 233, with
appreciation during the year of -4.45%. The top performing market during the
last year was Elmira, NY, with appreciation of 6.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -15.4%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -3.41%. The
average appreciation was -4.02%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Los Angeles Home Prices
ranked 329, with a total appreciation of -32.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 27%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -64%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -6%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -10%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Los Angeles Home
Prices had a rank of 15, with appreciation during the decade of 58%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 26%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 26%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2011, Los Angeles Home
Prices had a rank of 187, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of
84%. The top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY,
with appreciation of 214%. The worst market during the last 20 years was
Merced, CA, with appreciation of 6%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 87%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Los Angeles Real
Estate Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1975. The chart has
been updated through the 3rd Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on
the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Los Angeles. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)



PART 5: NATIONAL ECONOMIC FORECASTS  
Local economies and home values are influenced in varying degrees by
national economic conditions. Forecasts for some relevant indicators are
included below. The date shown to the right of the forecast represents the
target date of the forecast.   Abbreviations: SSAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annual
Rate),  Q1 (First Quarter),  Q2 (Second Quarter),  etc.  

U. S. Home Values (12 Month Appreciation or Depreciation)  -1.9%  (2012-Q4)
30 Year Mortgage Interest Rate:  3.25%  (December, 2012)
15 Year Mortgage Rate:  2.93%  (December, 2012)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rate:  0.00%  (December, 2012)
Housing Starts (SSAR in 1000's):  732  (November, 2012)
Prime Interest Rate:  0.11%  (December, 2012)
US Unemployment Rate (Overall):  8.63%  (November, 2012)
US Inflation or Deflation (-):  3.04%  (November, 2012)
Crude Oil Prices (Dollars per Barrel):  $92.4  (November, 2012)
Natural Gas Prices (Dollars Per Million BTU):  $3.37  (November, 2012)
U.S. Dollar Trade Weighted Currency Exchange Index:   105  (December, 2012)
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $15.6  (2012-Q2)
GNP (Gross National Product) SSAR in Trillions:  $16.0  (2012-Q2)
Federal Surplus or Deficit (-) in Billions:  $-1704  (2011)
National Debt (Trillions):  $14.6  (2012-Q2)
Fed Funds Rate:  4.03%  (December, 2012)
S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500 Stock Index):  1245  (December, 2012)
DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average):  12030  (December, 2012)
U. S. Exports (SSAR in Billions):  $2338  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Imports (SSAR in Billions):  $3042  (2012-Q2)
U. S. Personal Savings Rate:  4.61%  (November, 2012)

































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