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Naples, FL - House Price Index (HPI) - 11 Year Chart
Naples Real Estate Market
100
1000
1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Naples-Marco Island, FL single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Wednesday, April 25, 2012.
Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Naples Real Estate Index: 11 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Naples Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10298
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Naples, Florida


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      85%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Naples housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Naples is 85%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Naples is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Naples Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      85%

The forecast for the trend in the Naples housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Naples is 85%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Naples is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Naples Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Naples, Florida


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.09%
Last Year                              -5.6%
Last 5 Years                         -50%
Last 10 Years                       11%
Last 20 Years                       87%
Decline From All Time High   50.88%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985      3.54%
1986      2.97%
1987      4.18%
1988      10.14%
1989      11.07%
1990      2.57%
1991      2.15%
1992      1.23%
1993      2.22%
1994      2.18%
1995      1.88%
1996      -1.02%
1997      8.56%
1998      7.34%
1999      7.20%
2000      13.05%
2001      12.29%
2002      10.98%
2003      11.41%
2004      23.13%
2005      39.00%
2006      5.49%
2007      -15.50%
2008      -29.17%
2009      -13.80%
2010      1.64%
2011      -5.58%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.09%         Rank: 86 of 381 (77th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -5.6%          Rank: 316 of 381 (17th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -50%           Rank: 372 of 381 (2nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   11%            Rank: 307 of 381 (19th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            87%            Rank: 165 of 355 (53rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        50.88%

Home Price appreciation rates for Naples-Marco Island, FL are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Naples appreciated 1.09% in the Last Quarter.
At that rate, the Naples Real Estate Market was ranked 86th out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Naples was in the 77th
percentile. So Naples, FL performed better in the Last Quarter than 77% of the
381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Naples, Florida

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Naples-Marco Island, FL,
hereinafter referred to as "Naples". The all time high in the Naples Home Price
Index was 366.1 in the 3rd Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value
was 179.8. That's a decline of 186.26 points or 50.88% below the Naples Home
Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Naples
Market is up 11% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Naples Real Estate
Market have lost 5.58% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 1.93 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 177.88, resulting in a 1.09% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Naples Market.

The Naples Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand Forks, ND, with
increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for
consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in
the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Naples Real Estate Market
was 39% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2005. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Naples Market was -29% in the twelve
months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Naples Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 95% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2006.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Naples Market was
-48% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Naples Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Naples Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Naples
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Florida. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Naples Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Naples Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1997. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Naples Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Naples Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Naples, Florida

The appreciation of Naples Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Naples-Marco Island, FL, hereinafter referred to as "Naples".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Naples Home Prices had a rank of 86, with
appreciation of 1.09%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Naples Home Prices had a rank of 316, with
appreciation during the year of -5.58%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Naples Home Prices
ranked 372, with a total appreciation of -50.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Naples Home Prices had
a rank of 307, with appreciation during the decade of 11%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Naples Home Prices had
a rank of 165, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 87%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Naples Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1997. The chart has been
updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Naples. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)




























































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