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New Haven, CT - House Price Index (HPI) - 31 Year Chart
New Haven Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in New Haven-Milford, CT single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Wednesday, April 25, 2012.
Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
New Haven Real Estate Index: 31 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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New Haven Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10301
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: New Haven, Connecticut


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the New Haven housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for New Haven is 83%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in New Haven is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the New
Haven Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      82%

The forecast for the trend in the New Haven housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for New Haven is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
New Haven is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the New Haven
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: New Haven, Connecticut


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.52%
Last Year                              -3.2%
Last 5 Years                         -16%
Last 10 Years                       34%
Last 20 Years                       67%
Decline From All Time High   16.29%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983      15.85%
1984      9.08%
1985      22.57%
1986      32.97%
1987      17.40%
1988      3.28%
1989      -2.21%
1990      -7.19%
1991      -2.74%
1992      -1.51%
1993      -1.54%
1994      -7.07%
1995      4.28%
1996      -1.60%
1997      3.13%
1998      5.77%
1999      4.34%
2000      7.59%
2001      9.95%
2002      10.64%
2003      10.34%
2004      12.79%
2005      12.08%
2006      3.07%
2007      -1.22%
2008      -6.41%
2009      -4.44%
2010      -1.38%
2011      -3.22%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.52%         Rank: 149 of 381 (61st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -3.2%          Rank: 231 of 381 (39th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -16%           Rank: 264 of 381 (30th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   34%            Rank: 111 of 381 (71st Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            67%            Rank: 266 of 355 (25th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        16.29%

Home Price appreciation rates for New Haven-Milford, CT are shown above for
five time periods. For example: New Haven appreciated 0.52% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the New Haven Real Estate Market was ranked 149th out
of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. New Haven was in the
61st percentile. So New Haven, CT performed better in the Last Quarter than
61% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: New Haven, Connecticut

The data and analysis on this page pertains to New Haven-Milford, CT,
hereinafter referred to as "New Haven". The all time high in the New Haven
Home Price Index was 220.4 in the 1st Quarter, of 2007. The 4th Quarter, 2011
index value was 184.5. That's a decline of 35.90 points or 16.29% below the
New Haven Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that
the New Haven Market is up 34% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the
New Haven Real Estate Market have lost 3.22% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.95 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 183.51, resulting in a 0.52% rise in the 4th Quarter for the New
Haven Market.

The New Haven Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current record
holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with
declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the New Haven Real Estate
Market was 36% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1987. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the New Haven Market was -7% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1991.

The highest home appreciation in the New Haven Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 91% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
1987. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the New Haven
Market was -14% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the New Haven Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about New Haven Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the New Haven Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Connecticut. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about New Haven Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the New Haven Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the New Haven Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the New Haven Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: New Haven, Connecticut

The appreciation of New Haven Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to New Haven-Milford, CT, hereinafter referred to as "New Haven".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, New Haven Home Prices had a rank of 149,
with appreciation of 0.52%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, New Haven Home Prices had a rank of 231, with
appreciation during the year of -3.22%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, New Haven Home Prices
ranked 264, with a total appreciation of -15.7%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, New Haven Home Prices
had a rank of 111, with appreciation during the decade of 34%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, New Haven Home Prices
had a rank of 266, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 67%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the New Haven Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for New Haven. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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