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Oakland, CA - House Price Index (HPI) - 33 Year Chart
Oakland Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, CA single family home
prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, May 1, 2012.
Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Oakland Real Estate Index: 33 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Oakland Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10307
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Oakland, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Oakland housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Oakland is 86%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Oakland is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Oakland Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

The forecast for the trend in the Oakland housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Oakland is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Oakland is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Oakland Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Oakland, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.37%
Last Year                              -4.3%
Last 5 Years                         -35%
Last 10 Years                       12%
Last 20 Years                       89%
Decline From All Time High   35.68%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982      -2.39%
1983      4.79%
1984      3.96%
1985      6.88%
1986      8.38%
1987      9.61%
1988      16.89%
1989      22.27%
1990      1.07%
1991      -0.66%
1992      -1.28%
1993      -2.12%
1994      -4.67%
1995      1.13%
1996      -0.40%
1997      7.64%
1998      10.01%
1999      13.23%
2000      23.05%
2001      10.31%
2002      9.87%
2003      8.65%
2004      18.58%
2005      21.41%
2006      -0.41%
2007      -10.41%
2008      -18.50%
2009      -6.45%
2010      0.02%
2011      -4.34%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.37%        Rank: 288 of 381 (24th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -4.3%          Rank: 276 of 381 (27th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -35%           Rank: 334 of 381 (12th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   12%            Rank: 298 of 381 (21st Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            89%            Rank: 150 of 355 (57th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        35.68%

Home Price appreciation rates for Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, CA are shown
above for five time periods. For example: Oakland appreciated -0.37% in the
Last Quarter. At that rate, the Oakland Real Estate Market was ranked 288th
out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Oakland was in the
24th percentile. So Oakland, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 24%
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Oakland, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, CA,
hereinafter referred to as "Oakland". The all time high in the Oakland Home
Price Index was 319.1 in the 2nd Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index
value was 205.2. That's a decline of 113.85 points or 35.68% below the
Oakland Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that
the Oakland Market is up 12% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the
Oakland Real Estate Market have lost 4.34% over the last 12 months. Over the
last thirty years, it is up 266%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.77 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 205.98, resulting in a 0.37% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Oakland Market.

The Oakland Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Oakland Real Estate Market
was 26% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1977. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Oakland Market was -19% in the twelve
months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Oakland Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 73% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 1979.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Oakland Market
was -33% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Oakland Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Oakland Home Prices, look at the links under
that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for
the Oakland Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation
rates in the state of California. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long
term charts can provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's
detailed research and statistics about Oakland Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Oakland Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1975. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Oakland Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Oakland Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Oakland, California

The appreciation of Oakland Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Oakland".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Oakland Home Prices had a rank of 288, with
appreciation of -0.37%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Oakland Home Prices had a rank of 276, with
appreciation during the year of -4.34%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Oakland Home Prices
ranked 334, with a total appreciation of -34.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Oakland Home Prices
had a rank of 298, with appreciation during the decade of 12%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Oakland Home Prices
had a rank of 150, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 89%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Oakland Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1975. The chart has been
updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. All calculations are based on the
quarterly value of the House Price Index for Oakland. Real estate appreciation
figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless specifically
stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly rates of
appreciation.)




























































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