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Ocala, FL - House Price Index (HPI) - 14 Year Chart
Ocala Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Ocala, FL single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, May 1, 2012. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Ocala Real Estate Index: 14 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
10
Ocala Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10308
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Ocala, Florida


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      76%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Ocala housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Ocala is 76%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 76% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Ocala is 76% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ocala Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

The forecast for the trend in the Ocala housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Ocala is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Ocala is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ocala Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Ocala, Florida


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.27%
Last Year                              -11.9%
Last 5 Years                         -43%
Last 10 Years                       11%
Last 20 Years                       54%
Decline From All Time High   43.81%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987      3.28%
1988      1.30%
1989      1.12%
1990      2.19%
1991      -4.48%
1992      5.18%
1993      1.34%
1994      -1.37%
1995      4.56%
1996      -1.30%
1997      6.92%
1998      4.49%
1999      2.13%
2000      4.85%
2001      6.99%
2002      7.58%
2003      7.40%
2004      14.93%
2005      30.42%
2006      12.01%
2007      -2.35%
2008      -19.13%
2009      -10.07%
2010      -8.80%
2011      -11.94%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.27%        Rank: 271 of 381 (28th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -11.9%        Rank: 379 of 381 (Bottom .50%)
Last 5 Years                              -43%           Rank: 350 of 381 (8th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   11%            Rank: 305 of 381 (20th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            54%            Rank: 311 of 355 (12th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        43.81%

Home Price appreciation rates for Ocala, FL are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Ocala appreciated -0.27% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Ocala Real Estate Market was ranked 271st out of 381 metropolitan
areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Ocala was in the 28th percentile. So Ocala,
FL performed better in the Last Quarter than 28% of the 381 metropolitan
areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Ocala, Florida

The all time high in the Ocala Home Price Index was 266.5 in the 1st Quarter, of
2007. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 149.7. That's a decline of 116.74
points or 43.81% below the Ocala Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Ocala Market is up 11% over the last 10 years.
Home Prices in the Ocala Real Estate Market have lost 11.94% over the last 12
months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.40 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 150.14, resulting in a 0.27% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Ocala Market.

The Ocala Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in the
previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Ocala Real Estate Market
was 32% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2006. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Ocala Market was -19% in the twelve
months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Ocala Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 72% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2006.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Ocala Market was
-37% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Ocala Home Price Index (above).
The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of 2011. For
more information about Ocala Home Prices, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation rates for the Ocala
Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for appreciation rates in the state
of Florida. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property
values. Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Ocala Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Ocala Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1994. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Ocala Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Ocala Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Ocala, Florida

The appreciation of Ocala Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Ocala Home Prices had a rank of 271, with
appreciation of -0.27%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Ocala Home Prices had a rank of 379, with
appreciation during the year of -11.94%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Ocala Home Prices
ranked 350, with a total appreciation of -43.0%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Ocala Home Prices had
a rank of 305, with appreciation during the decade of 11%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Ocala Home Prices had
a rank of 311, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 54%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Ocala Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1994. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Ocala. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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