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Palm Coast, FL - House Price Index (HPI) - 16 Year Chart
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Palm Coast Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Palm Coast, FL single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Updated Tuesday, May 1, 2012. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Palm Coast Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75 1/1980 1/1985 1/1990 1/1995 1/2000 1/2005 1/2010 1/15
Commentary 10320
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Palm Coast, Florida
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 67%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Palm Coast housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Palm Coast is 67%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 67% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Palm Coast is 67% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Palm
Coast Real Estate Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast: DOWN
Forecast Accuracy: 63%
The forecast for the trend in the Palm Coast housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Palm Coast is 63%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 63% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Palm Coast is 63% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Palm Coast
Real Estate Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Palm Coast, Florida
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter -4.57%
Last Year -5.1%
Last 5 Years -47%
Last 10 Years 10%
Last 20 Years 36%
Decline From All Time High 46.95%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982 n/a
1983 n/a
1984 n/a
1985 n/a
1986 n/a
1987 n/a
1988 5.10%
1989 -2.17%
1990 3.60%
1991 4.12%
1992 -1.18%
1993 1.81%
1994 -2.52%
1995 -0.18%
1996 -1.87%
1997 4.48%
1998 3.07%
1999 1.35%
2000 8.91%
2001 8.51%
2002 10.72%
2003 14.17%
2004 22.38%
2005 25.15%
2006 6.38%
2007 -11.12%
2008 -20.09%
2009 -12.60%
2010 -9.27%
2011 -5.12%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter -4.57% Rank: 379 of 381 (Bottom .50%)
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -5.1% Rank: 303 of 381 (20th Percentile)
Last 5 Years -47% Rank: 361 of 381 (5th Percentile)
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . 10% Rank: 312 of 381 (18th Percentile)
Last 20 Years 36% Rank: 342 of 355 (3rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High 46.95%
Home Price appreciation rates for Palm Coast, FL are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Palm Coast appreciated -4.57% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Palm Coast Real Estate Market was ranked 379th out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Palm Coast was in the bottom
.50%. So Palm Coast, FL performed better in the Last Quarter than 0% of the
381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Palm Coast, Florida
The all time high in the Palm Coast Home Price Index was 275.2 in the 2nd
Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 146.0. That's a
decline of 129.19 points or 46.95% below the Palm Coast Home Price Index all
time high. The Home Price Index indicates that the Palm Coast Market is up
10% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Palm Coast Real Estate Market
have lost 5.12% over the last 12 months.
The 4th Quarter index value was 6.99 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 152.95, resulting in a 4.57% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Palm Coast Market.
The Palm Coast Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing
in the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Palm Coast Real Estate
Market was 27% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Palm Coast Market was -21% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.
The highest home appreciation in the Palm Coast Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 78% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
2006. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Palm Coast
Market was -41% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.
This page provides a long term graph of the Palm Coast Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Palm Coast Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Palm Coast Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Florida. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Palm Coast Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Palm Coast Home Price Index is available back to the 1st
Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Palm Coast Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Palm Coast Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.
Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Palm Coast, Florida
The appreciation of Palm Coast Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed. Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.
Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Palm Coast Home Prices had a rank of 379,
with appreciation of -4.57%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.
Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Palm Coast Home Prices had a rank of 303, with
appreciation during the year of -5.12%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.
Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Palm Coast Home Prices
ranked 361, with a total appreciation of -46.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.
Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Palm Coast Home Prices
had a rank of 312, with appreciation during the decade of 10%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.
Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Palm Coast Home Prices
had a rank of 342, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 36%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.
Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Palm Coast Real
Estate Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Palm Coast. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period.
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of appreciation.)
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