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Pensacola, FL - House Price Index (HPI) - 25 Year Chart
Pensacola Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL single family home
prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Tuesday, May 1, 2012.
Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Pensacola Real Estate Index: 25 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Pensacola Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10325
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Pensacola, Florida


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Pensacola housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Pensacola is 83%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Pensacola is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Pensacola Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      82%

The forecast for the trend in the Pensacola housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Pensacola is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Pensacola is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Pensacola
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Pensacola, Florida


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.39%
Last Year                              -2.4%
Last 5 Years                         -25%
Last 10 Years                       26%
Last 20 Years                       93%
Decline From All Time High   25.14%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984      15.16%
1985      -2.14%
1986      4.65%
1987      0.32%
1988      -0.95%
1989      2.82%
1990      0.58%
1991      2.86%
1992      4.49%
1993      4.45%
1994      2.72%
1995      7.68%
1996      4.36%
1997      6.44%
1998      3.21%
1999      0.21%
2000      4.42%
2001      5.57%
2002      4.58%
2003      6.33%
2004      17.45%
2005      26.68%
2006      1.87%
2007      -6.22%
2008      -11.85%
2009      -0.25%
2010      -6.80%
2011      -2.44%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.39%         Rank: 63 of 381 (83rd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.4%          Rank: 185 of 381 (51st Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -25%           Rank: 312 of 381 (18th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   26%            Rank: 177 of 381 (53rd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            93%            Rank: 134 of 355 (62nd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        25.14%

Home Price appreciation rates for Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL are shown
above for five time periods. For example: Pensacola appreciated 1.39% in the
Last Quarter. At that rate, the Pensacola Real Estate Market was ranked 63rd
out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Pensacola was in
the 83rd percentile. So Pensacola, FL performed better in the Last Quarter
than 83% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Pensacola, Florida

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent,
FL, hereinafter referred to as "Pensacola". The all time high in the Pensacola
Home Price Index was 229.5 in the 1st Quarter, of 2007. The 4th Quarter, 2011
index value was 171.8. That's a decline of 57.68 points or 25.14% below the
Pensacola Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that
the Pensacola Market is up 26% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the
Pensacola Real Estate Market have lost 2.44% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.36 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 169.43, resulting in a 1.39% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Pensacola Market.

The Pensacola Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous 10 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and
Grand Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Las Vegas,
NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Pensacola Real Estate
Market was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Pensacola Market was -12% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Pensacola Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 58% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
2005. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Pensacola
Market was -21% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Pensacola Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Pensacola Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Pensacola Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Florida. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Pensacola Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Pensacola Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1983. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Pensacola Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Pensacola Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Pensacola, Florida

The appreciation of Pensacola Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL, hereinafter referred to as "Pensacola".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Pensacola Home Prices had a rank of 63, with
appreciation of 1.39%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market during
that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Pensacola Home Prices had a rank of 185, with
appreciation during the year of -2.44%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Pensacola Home Prices
ranked 312, with a total appreciation of -25.0%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Pensacola Home Prices
had a rank of 177, with appreciation during the decade of 26%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Pensacola Home Prices
had a rank of 134, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 93%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Pensacola Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1983. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Pensacola. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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