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Tuscaloosa, AL - House Price Index (HPI) - 18 Year Chart
Tuscaloosa Real Estate Market
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Tuscaloosa, AL single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Wednesday, March 28, 2012.
Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Tuscaloosa Real Estate Index: 18 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Tuscaloosa Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  10409
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Tuscaloosa, Alabama


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      90%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Tuscaloosa housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2012 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Forecast for Tuscaloosa is 90%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 90% of the time.
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Tuscaloosa is 90% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2012 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Tuscaloosa Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      93%

The forecast for the trend in the Tuscaloosa housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2014 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Tuscaloosa is 93%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 93% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Tuscaloosa is 93% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2014 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2011. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Tuscaloosa
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Tuscaloosa, Alabama


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -1.63%
Last Year                              -2.0%
Last 5 Years                         1%
Last 10 Years                       28%
Last 20 Years                       95%
Decline From All Time High   5.12%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1982        n/a
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990        n/a
1991      7.16%
1992      1.42%
1993      6.15%
1994      3.77%
1995      6.68%
1996      6.32%
1997      5.08%
1998      4.49%
1999      0.48%
2000      3.63%
2001      5.41%
2002      2.67%
2003      3.94%
2004      4.34%
2005      8.02%
2006      5.59%
2007      2.52%
2008      3.07%
2009      -0.01%
2010      -2.87%
2011      -2.05%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -1.63%        Rank: 354 of 381 (7th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -2.0%          Rank: 167 of 381 (56th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              1%              Rank: 107 of 381 (72nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   28%            Rank: 169 of 381 (55th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            95%            Rank: 127 of 355 (64th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        5.12%

Home Price appreciation rates for Tuscaloosa, AL are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Tuscaloosa appreciated -1.63% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Tuscaloosa Real Estate Market was ranked 354th out of 381
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Tuscaloosa was in the 7th
percentile. So Tuscaloosa, AL performed better in the Last Quarter than 7% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Statistics: Tuscaloosa, Alabama

The all time high in the Tuscaloosa Home Price Index was 181.9 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2009. The 4th Quarter, 2011 index value was 172.6. That's a
decline of 9.31 points or 5.12% below the Tuscaloosa Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Tuscaloosa Market is up 28%
over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Tuscaloosa Real Estate Market have
lost 2.05% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.86 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2011
index value of 175.47, resulting in a 1.63% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Tuscaloosa Market.

The Tuscaloosa Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing
in the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index is Las Vegas, NV, with declines in the last 20 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Wheeling, WV; Washington, DC; St. Cloud, MN and Grand
Forks, ND, with increases in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Tuscaloosa Real Estate
Market was 10% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1996. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Tuscaloosa Market was -5% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

The highest home appreciation in the Tuscaloosa Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 22% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1996. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Tuscaloosa
Market was -6% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Tuscaloosa Home Price Index
(above). The house price chart has been updated through the 4th Quarter of
2011. For more information about Tuscaloosa Home Prices, look at the links
under that chart. One link opens a long term chart of historical appreciation
rates for the Tuscaloosa Real Estate Market. Another opens a forecast for
appreciation rates in the state of Alabama. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Tuscaloosa Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Tuscaloosa Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1990. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Tuscaloosa Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Tuscaloosa Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2011 Housing Data: Tuscaloosa, Alabama

The appreciation of Tuscaloosa Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2011, Tuscaloosa Home Prices had a rank of 354,
with appreciation of -1.63%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Vineland, NJ, with appreciation of 6.09%. The worst market
during that period was Valdosta, GA, with appreciation of -5.24%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.24%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.29%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Tuscaloosa Home Prices had a rank of 167, with
appreciation during the year of -2.05%. The top performing market during the
last year was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 4.7%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Carson City, NV, with appreciation of -18.1%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was -2.61%. The
average appreciation was -2.93%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011, Tuscaloosa Home Prices
ranked 107, with a total appreciation of 0.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 23%. The
worst market during that period was Merced, CA, with appreciation of -62%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -7%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -11%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Tuscaloosa Home Prices
had a rank of 169, with appreciation during the decade of 28%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 92%.
The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -29%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 24%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 25%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2011, Tuscaloosa Home Prices
had a rank of 127, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 95%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 222%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 5%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 85%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 87%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Tuscaloosa Real
Estate Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1990. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Tuscaloosa. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period.
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of appreciation.)




























































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