Education and Communication Inflation

Commentary 6092 ec
EDUCATION & COMMUNICATION INFLATION RATE
April, 2012 Data:

The forecast for the Education & Communication Inflation Rate is in the table at
the top of this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that Education &
Communication Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.98% over the next year. The
table shows a HDTFA of 0.83% which suggests that the inflation rate for
education & communication prices in the US for the 12 months ending May,
2013 could easily fall between 2.81% and 1.16%. Links to Forecasts for many
other economic indicators may be found on the left side of this page. The
education & communication price index used in this article is the Consumer
Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Education & Communication, hereinafter
referred as the education & communication price index.

Annual Education & Communication Inflation Rate
Last Month                                       0.4%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.0%
Last 5 Years                                     2.4%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2%
Last 20 Years                                   2.4%

Annual Education & Communication Inflation Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months)                      2.0%   (April, 2012)
Low (Last 12 Months)                       1.0%   (August, 2011)
High (Since January, 1994)            4.3%   (February, 1995)
Low (Since January, 1994)            0.2%   (July, 1999)

The annual Education & Communication Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended
in April, 2012 was 1.99%. That's 0.05% percent higher than the 12 months
ended in March, 2012 which inflated at a rate of 1.95%. It is 0.87% percent
higher than the 12 months ended in April, 2011 which inflated at a rate of
1.12%. The rise in inflation rates from March to April indicates that the short
term inflation trend in education & communication prices has been up. If that
trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for the 12 months ended in
May, 2012 that is close to 2.04%.

The Education & Communication Inflation Rate one year ago was 1.12%. Over
the last year, inflation in the education & communication price index was 1.99%.
The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.23%. Lower inflation over the
last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10 years serves
as an indicator that the long term trend in the Education & Communication
Inflation Rate is down. Inflation expectations should be adjusted accordingly.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers Education & Communication
Inflation Rate data back to January, 1994. The average annual inflation rate in
education & communication prices during that period of history was 2.42%. The
highest rate was 4.34%. The lowest rate was 0.20%. The high was attained in
the 12 months ended in February of 1995. The low was achieved in the 12
months ended in July of 1999. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months
ended in April of 2012 are low relative to the historical 2.42% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Education &
Communication Inflation Rate. For links to longer term charts, look at the links
under the five year chart (above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another
opens our longest term graph on the Education & Communication Inflation
Rate. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide
tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.

The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.

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Annual US Inflation Rate for the cost of Education & Communication is plotted monthly in gray
(Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Education & Communication). The forecast for the
target month is shown in green. Other links related to this economic indicator are below.

Inflation: All Urban Consumers: Education & Communication - 5 Year History

Education & Communication Inflation Rate Forecast

Target Month

Forecast

HDTFA

Forecast for US Education & Communication Inflation
Rate for the year ending in the target month indicated
based on the Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers: Education & Communication, not
seasonally adjusted.

March 2013

1.98%

0.83%

Updated Thursday, May 24, 2012.

Education & Communication Inflation