Commentary  6092 m
MEDICAL CARE INFLATION RATE
April, 2012 Data:

The forecast for the Medical Care Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this
page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that Medical Care Inflation Rates will
be roughly 3.65% over the next year. The table shows a HDTFA of 1.16% which
suggests that the inflation rate for medical care prices in the US for the 12
months ending May, 2013 could easily fall between 4.81% and 2.50%. Links to
Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left side of
this page. The medical care price index used in this article is the Consumer
Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Medical Care, hereinafter referred as the
medical care price index.

Annual Medical Care Inflation Rate
Last Month                                       2.9%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.7%
Last 5 Years                                     3.5%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.9%
Last 20 Years                                   4.1%

Annual Medical Care Inflation Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months)                      3.7%   (April, 2012)
Low (Last 12 Months)                       2.8%   (October, 2011)
High (Since January, 1948)            13.9%   (May, 1975)
Low (Since January, 1948)            1.3%   (September, 1950)

The annual Medical Care Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in April, 2012
was 3.71%. That's 0.07% percent higher than the 12 months ended in March,
2012 which inflated at a rate of 3.63%. It is 0.98% percent higher than the 12
months ended in April, 2011 which inflated at a rate of 2.73%.  The rise in
inflation rates from March to April indicates that the short term inflation trend in
medical care prices has been up. If that trend continues, we should see an
inflation rate for the 12 months ended in May, 2012 that is close to 3.78%.

The Medical Care Inflation Rate one year ago was 2.73%. Over the last year,
inflation in the medical care price index was 3.71%. The average rate over the
last 10 years was 3.89%.  Lower inflation over the last 12 months compared to
the average inflation over the last 10 years serves as an indicator that the long
term trend in the Medical Care Inflation Rate is down. Inflation expectations
should be adjusted accordingly.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers Medical Care Inflation Rate
data back to January, 1948. The average annual inflation rate in medical care
prices during that period of history was 5.46%. The highest rate was 13.90%.
The lowest rate was 1.34%.  The high was attained in the 12 months ended in
May of 1975. The low was achieved in the 12 months ended in September of
1950. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months ended in April of 2012 are
low relative to the historical 5.46% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Medical Care
Inflation Rate. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five
year chart (above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest
term graph on the Medical Care Inflation Rate. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of the financial markets.

The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
































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Inflation Rate for All Urban Consumers: Medical Care - 5 Year History
Medical Care Inflation Rate Forecast
Target Month
Forecast
HDTFA
Forecast for US Medical Care Inflation Rate for the year
ending in the target month indicated based on the
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers:
Medical Care, not seasonally adjusted.
May 2013
3.65%
1.16%
Updated Thursday, May 24, 2012.
Medical Care Cost Inflation
Inflation Rate Forecast: Medical Care
Inflation: Food, Energy, Housing, Medical etc.
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
0%
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Current Analysis & Forecast: Medical Care Inflation Rate
Annual US Inflation Rate for the cost of Medical Care is plotted monthly in gray (Consumer Price
Index for All Urban Consumers: Medical Care). The forecast for the target month is shown in green.
Other links related to this economic indicator are below.
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