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Market Commentary  30615
January, 2019 Data:

The 12 month forecast for the New Zealand Dollar is in the table at the top of
this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that the exchange rate for the New
Zealand Dollar will be roughly 1.42 New Zealand Dollars to the USD. The table
shows a HDTFA of 0.15 which suggests that the February, 2020 currency
exchange rate could easily fall between 1.57 and 1.26 NZD/USD. Links to
Forecasts for fourteen other currencies may be found by clicking Currency
Exchange Forecasts at the top of this page.

All data and calculations on this page are based on the average daily rate per
calendar month for NZD/USD.

HISTORICAL EXCHANGE RATE SUMMARY: NZD/USD
Average (Last 12 Months)         1.45
Average (Last 10 Years)           1.36
High (Last 12 Months)              1.53   (October, 2018)
Low (Last 12 Months)               1.37   (February, 2018)
High (Since February, 1972)      2.51   (November, 2000)
Low (Since February, 1972)       1.01   (June, 1980)

The New Zealand Dollar exchange rate for January, 2019 averaged 1.45 NZD
to USD. That's 4.3 basis points lower than the December, 2018 rate of 1.49,
and 6.9 basis points higher than the January, 2018 rate of 1.38.  The fall in the
NZD/USD exchange rate from December to January provides evidence that the
short term trend in NZD/USD is down. In other words, a weakening of the US
Dollar against the New Zealand Dollar in the short term. If that trend continues
in the currency market, we should see an average daily rate in February, 2019
that is close to 1.40.

The average New Zealand Dollar conversion rate over the last 12 months was
1.45. The average rate over the last 10 years was 1.36.  A Higher New Zealand
Dollars to US Dollars exchange rate over the last 12 months compared to the
average rates over the last 10 years serve as an indicator that the long term
trend in NZD/USD is up (strengthening US Dollar against the New Zealand
Dollar).

The highest currency rate for NZD/USD over the last 12 months was 1.53. The
lowest was 1.37. The market high was attained in October, 2018. The market
low was achieved in February, 2018.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers New Zealand Dollar data back
to February, 1972. The average exchange value during that period of history
was 1.59 NZD/USD. The highest rate was 2.51. The lowest was 1.01.  The
market high was attained in November, of 2000. The market low was achieved
in June of 1980. Recent rates experienced in January of 2019 are similar to the
historical 1.59 average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the New Zealand Dollar.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the New Zealand Dollar. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents additional historical information on the New Zealand
Dollar. Rate data is presented on an annual basis.




















Data Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), U.S. /
New Zealand Foreign Exchange Rate [EXUSNZ], retrieved from FRED, Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EXUSNZ

SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2019; All rights reserved.



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New Zealand Dollars per 1 US Dollar are shown in gray (average daily rate per calendar month). The
forecast for the target month is shown in green. If the line in the chart is falling (left to right), the US
Dollar has weakened,
causing...
New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar (NZD to USD) - 5 Year History
1.7
1.9
2.1
1.5
1.1
2.3
1.3
New Zealand Dollar Forecast
Recent Currency Exchange Rates
2.5
Historical New Zealand Dollar Rate (NZD USD)
Year
NZD/USD
Year
NZD/USD
Year
NZD/USD
Year
NZD/USD
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
0.84
0.74
0.72
0.84
1.01
1.03
0.97
0.98
1.03
1.15
1.33
1.50
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1.77
2.02
1.91
1.69
1.53
1.67
1.68
1.73
1.86
1.85
1.69
1.52
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
1.45
1.51
1.87
1.89
2.20
2.38
2.16
1.72
1.51
1.42
1.54
1.36
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
1.42
1.60
1.39
1.26
1.23
1.22
1.21
1.44
1.44
1.41
1.45
Average annual currency exchange rate for the New Zealand Dollar (N. Z. Dollars per U.S.
Dollar) is shown in this table: 1972 to present.
Forecast & Current Analysis: New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
1/14
1/2015
1/2016
1/2017
1/2018
1/2019
1/2020
1/21
New Zealand Dollar Currency Exchange Rate Forecast
   
Target Month:
Forecast:
HDTFA:
February,2020
1.42
0.15
 
Forecast for the currency exchange rate of the New Zealand Dollar for
the target month indicated, shown in Dollars per US Dollars (NZD/USD).
See commentary below.