3 Month Treasury Bill Yield Forecast (US T-Bill Interest Rate)

Market Commentary 30773
February, 2019 Data:

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the 3 Month Treasury Interest Rate is in the table at
the top of this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that 3 Month US T-Bill
Yields will be roughly 2.85% in one year. The table shows a HDTFA of 3.11%
which suggests that the March, 2020 rate could easily fall between 5.97% and
0.26%. Forecasts for many other interest rates may be found by clicking
INTEREST RATE FORECAST at the top of this page.

HISTORICAL 3 MONTH TREASURY RATE
Average (Last 12 Months)        2.13%.
Average (Last 10 Years)          0.42%
High (Last 12 Months)             2.44% (February, 2019)
Low (Last 12 Months)              1.73% (March, 2018)
High (Since January, 1982)    14.28% (February, 1982)
Low (Since January, 1982)      0.01% (December, 2011)

MONTHLY 3 MONTH TREASURY RATE
Mar, 2018     1.73%
Apr, 2018     1.79%
May, 2018     1.90%
Jun, 2018     1.94%
Jul,   2018     1.99%
Aug, 2018     2.07%
Sep, 2018     2.17%
Oct, 2018     2.29%
Nov, 2018     2.37%
Dec, 2018     2.41%
Jan, 2019     2.42%
Feb, 2019     2.44%

HIGHLIGHTS
The 3 Month Treasury Yield for February, 2019 averaged 2.44%. That's 2
basis points higher than the January, 2019 rate of 2.42%, and 85 basis points
higher than the February, 2018 rate of 1.59%. The minor movement in rates
from January to February indicates that the short term rate trend has been
relatively flat. If that market trend continues, we should see an average daily
rate in March, 2019 that is close to 2.46%.

The average 3 Month Treasury Rate for the last 12 months was 2.13%. The
average rate over the last 10 years was 0.42%. Higher rates over the last 12
months compared to the average rates over the last 10 years serve as an
indicator that the long term rate trend in 3 Month Treasury Rates is up.

The highest annual rate over the last 12 months was 2.44%. The lowest was
1.73%. The high annual rate was attained in February, 2019. The market low
was achieved in March, 2018.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers 3 Month Treasury Rate data
back to January, 1982. The average annual rate during that period of history
was 3.95%. The highest rate was 14.28%. The lowest rate was 0.01%. The
market high was attained in February of 1982. The market low was achieved in
December of 2011. Recent rates experienced in February of 2019 are low
relative to the historical 3.95% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for 3 Month Treasury
Interest Rates. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five
year chart (above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest
term graph on 3 Month US T-Bill Yields. Just one glance at our long term charts
can provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial
markets. The data table above presents the history of the 3 Month Treasury Bill
Yield in numerical format.

Data Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US),
3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity Rate [GS3M], retrieved from FRED,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GS3M

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